Apple: Emergency SOS via satellite available today (US and Canada)

Re:Apple: Emergency SOS via satellite available today (US an... by tsimionescu on Tuesday November 15, 2022 @04:57PM (#33615619)

It can be easily reconciled if there are far more instances of false positives than true positives.

Remember that a 99% accuracy for a condition that 0.1% of the population has still means 10 false positives for each 1 early diagnosis.

I don't what the numbers are for the conditions that the Apple Watch can detect, just discussing the general principle. Whether it's more useful or more harmful depends crucially on the real numbers.

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Re:Apple: Emergency SOS via satellite available today (US an... by dagmx on Tuesday November 15, 2022 @06:25PM (#33616670)

Their post said “nothing positive”. That’s different than “not a net positive”.

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Re:Apple: Emergency SOS via satellite available today (US an... by Dylan16807 on Tuesday November 15, 2022 @10:22PM (#33618419)

There's some amount of luck and marginal effects that need to be discounted, otherwise you couldn't say "nothing positive" about a diagnostic that always says "you are dying", and you couldn't say "nothing positive" about a strategy that has you pick the opposite route and then repeat as many times as you want. And I think such a conclusion would be very dumb.

I'm not making a statement on whether the apple watch in particular is close enough to that line.

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