Re:Musk’s First Email to Twitter Staff Ends Remote Work
by elorant on Thursday November 10, 2022 @03:47PM
(#33553085)
According to the email, Musk expects subscriptions to make up to 50% of revenue. Assuming that Twitter’s revenue is around $5bn, and the subscription is at $8/month that’s some 26M subscriptions, or 5,7% of its users. I don’t think that a number so high is achievable, unless they pull a rabbit out of their hat.
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Re:Musk’s First Email to Twitter Staff Ends Remote Work
by sangnoir on Thursday November 10, 2022 @04:27PM
(#33553650)
Another way to achieve Musk's target would be to drop ad revenue numbers precipitously until it is equal to subscriptions - a process that may well be under way.
Re:Musk’s First Email to Twitter Staff Ends Remote Work
by elorant on Thursday November 10, 2022 @05:10PM
(#33554212)
Sure, but in this case you'd hardly make any profit. Interests on that $13bn loan alone are somewhere around $1bn annually.
Re:Musk’s First Email to Twitter Staff Ends Remote Work
by bart_spoon on Thursday November 10, 2022 @05:29PM
(#33554497)
I'm fairly certain they were making a joke.
Re:Musk’s First Email to Twitter Staff Ends Remote Work
by datalopers on Thursday November 10, 2022 @03:57PM
(#33553240)
You're making the assumption that annualized revenue hasn't already dropped precipitously due to a loss in advertising dollars, and the bar for subscriptions to reach 50% is rapidly lowering.
Re:Musk’s First Email to Twitter Staff Ends Remote Work
by elorant on Thursday November 10, 2022 @04:04PM
(#33553354)
Even if you cut the conversion at half it's still too high. Realistically speaking, anything above 1% is highly optimistic.
Re:Musk’s First Email to Twitter Staff Ends Remote Work
by greedo on Thursday November 10, 2022 @03:59PM
(#33553266)
I'm sure he's expecting growth in both ARPU and total users.