> bit early to speculate on this

We’ve seen the balance sheet. The facts have been on the table for FTX as much as they are for Tether.

I can’t say when they will fail. But as soon as we saw the Alameda books and Alameda and FTX’s responses (the former, an irrelevant statement about other assets; the latter, a claim of solvency without proof), the endpoint was sealed. Insolvent, leveraged entities don’t pay out junior creditors absent a bail-out.

I think the parent was pointing out that this is just an intent to acquire and could fall through.

And looks like it did.