Musk’s Twitter Purchase Was a Leveraged Buyout

Re:Musk’s Twitter Purchase Was a Leveraged Buyout by sangnoir on Friday November 04, 2022 @01:56PM (#33471076)

> if 25% of active Twitter users subscribe to the plan at $8/mo, they'll double their revenue.

I doubt 25% of active users average > 1 tweet per month. Twitter follows power laws. My guestimate is on any given day, <10% author a tweet, <20% comment. The rest of the actives just read, like and retweet. The latter groups have little to benefit from subscribing

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Re:Musk’s Twitter Purchase Was a Leveraged Buyout by Ancapistani on Friday November 04, 2022 @02:02PM (#33471187)

I agree, which is why I went on to say that I think 5% is a more realistic target.

I also wouldn't discount the idea that some people are going to subscribe for political reasons, at least initially. HN seems to fairly consistently label Musk lately as "right -wing", but in truth he's become more of an "anti-left-wing" figure. By extension, I think that means that ~50% of the country is going to have a positive impression of his control of Twitter.

I've been watching right wing social media (forums, not Gab/Truth/MeWe/etc.), and they're relishing in the layoffs. That effect won't last long, but it'll likely have a measurable impact on subscriptions and a corresponding long tail.

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