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A comment on Washington Officials Traded Stocks with Exquisite Timing. Parent comment

Re:Washington Officials Traded Stocks with Exquisite Timing by huijzer on Thursday October 20, 2022 @03:53PM (#33279821)
> killing just going long/short on index funds

Going short is always a bad idea. The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. In other words, you can win at most 100% while you can lose more than 100%, so why make such a bet.

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Re:Washington Officials Traded Stocks with Exquisite Timing by foobarian on Thursday October 20, 2022 @04:02PM (#33279951)
If you knew your spouse is going to announce an interest rate hike the next morning, shorting might be a relatively safe bet. And it's not like an index fund will move more than a few points at a time anyway.
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Re:Washington Officials Traded Stocks with Exquisite Timing by snapcaster on Thursday October 20, 2022 @04:01PM (#33279939)
It's not true that you can make at most 100% once you take into account leverage. But I agree with your general point that shorting is much harder than longing
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