Centuries? I haven't taken a close look at VR (though I'm flirting with buying a headset soon, just for kicks...) but I'd always assumed it was more like 10-25 years away.
What are the hardware breakthroughs that you think would do it?
Very light AR glasses can be an interesting proposition but they will not provide the VR immersive experience.
I'm not sure what people expect from VR but it's not Ready Player One and will not be for a very long time. However, playing Half Life Alyx is quite phenomenal even today on current hardware.
And it will be fun to watch from the outside.
Unfortunately, I don't expect this endeavor to give interesting fruits to humanity, but sometimes happy accidents happen.
Finally, even for people who get hopelessly car sick as passengers no matter what they do, the advantage of a fast safe private ride often outweighs the discomfort - especially since no one is spending more than 1h in a car more often than a few times a year. It is very hard to imagine what application could make VR give even close to the amount of utility that cars give you.
And we never need Oculus for anything. That's a big difference.
Very few people need oculus/VR, while a lot people need cars. Possibly a lot more like 10000x
Why as a consumer, do I want to wear something on my head? especially since, handheld phones are already way more engaging than I need. Are VR headsets just another entertainment device (something I have way too much of already) or will it facilitate work from home?
The tech isn't even close to there yet.
Current gen VR tech demos sparks the imagination, and it's definitely great for people that want to like it... But that's not even close to good enough for mass adoption.
Their teased prototypes look like a solid upgrade, but it's still not going to be enough.
Mobile procedures just don't have enough graphics power yet and the one's we do have consume too much power. We're missing several hardware breakthrough before mass adoption becomes likely from my perspective as a VR headset owner.
It's probably gonna happen eventually, but not necessarily with current tech.
Meta might succeed if it stays on the ball and keeps pushing for centuries, but i don't think it's management will do so.