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A comment on Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea. Parent comment

Re:Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea by netsharc on Tuesday September 27, 2022 @11:11AM (#32996346)
Maybe the Russian military has some factions, and a faction is thinking surrender. Destroying the pipelines would advantage the faction against surrender, because then the surrenderists would be weaker, since they have less to offer to the EU. Which faction Putin would belong to is a different area of speculation.

Or it's really Putin's way of saying "I'm not bluffing, in fact, here's how serious I am, see these pipes for that possible future gas sale?". If he really is destroying something that could make him money in the future, maybe he's really in an "If I can't win then let me flip the board" mood. Which I'd extrapolate to him being in a "Get the nukes warmed up" mood.

I wonder what discussion inside the intelligence community is like currently. It'd be amazing. Maybe watch what the senators connected to the intelligence committee are buying/selling.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea by percevalve on Tuesday September 27, 2022 @11:18AM (#32996452)
Reading that the Norway-Poland pipeline just happened to open today... Sounds like a loud a clear message to me, along the lines of "Gas pipeline seems to be very fragile around here, let's just hope nothing happens to yours".

If you add factions into the mix, I would say that this might be what makes the most sense.

https://www.euronews.com/2022/09/27/baltic-pipe-norway-polan...

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Re:Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea by PartyOperator on Tuesday September 27, 2022 @04:09PM (#33000484)
There's also the fact that it just shakes things up a bit. Russia isn't benefiting from the pipeline now. Leaving it intact leaves long-term opportunities and risks that strategic actors with time on their side can turn against Russia (or against Putin in particular). Blowing a hole in the pipeline creates confusion, disruption and opportunities today. For what? Unclear, but Putin seems to thrive on short-term crises.
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Re:Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea by thenthenthen on Wednesday September 28, 2022 @12:14PM (#33009697)
I think all parties involved could potentially benefit from the confusion surrounding this pipeline.
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Re:Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea by kazen44 on Tuesday September 27, 2022 @06:03PM (#33001698)
destroying something as vital as the poland-norway pipeline or other norwegian gas infrastructure could be seen as a trigger for article 5.

Mind you, this is something russian claims it wants (the war against the west and all that), but actually triggering it or something like it which allows to poor even more weapons into ukraine will result in an even weaker russia.

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