> Most of the consumer advice is very low level - this Heat Geeks site seems better that most, but it still lacks enough detail for me to get into the numbers
You'll probably want an undergraduate physical chemistry textbook for this.
I'm quite curious because I have an old-ish heat pump that's a little small for the space and I've been thinking of getting a larger one. But if it'll be less efficient then maybe I won't. The one I have does perfectly fine except on a few of the coldest winter mornings.
800 watt for the refrigerant pump, and about 100 watt combined for the two fans.
This means even when I'd like it a little warmer on the coldest days, making the heat pump use more power isn't an option.
A larger unit would have a bigger refrigerant pump and larger fans. This would result in us inadvertently leaving the unit on a higher heat setting more often.
Also, a larger unit will be turning a larger pump and larger fans even when smaller would achieve the same outcomes. Mechanic losses.
These two factors, human habit & mechanical losses, are, as I understand it, why you're generally better off having more small systems than one big system.
We have three split systems, in addition to the 7kW unit at one end of the house, there are two 2.4kW units, one I'm each of the bedrooms we use. When one or more units aren't required they can be turned off. Another advantage of this setup is that it's extremely unlikely all three systems will breakdown simultaneously.
Another issue with the larger units is they tend to be ducted, where the ducting is in a poorly insulated roof space, so there's additional heat losses there, and additional losses due to energy required to push air through the ducts.
Your second argument is silly: a larger pump will surely take more energy to run but will run for less time. It’ll also wear out slower as it doesn’t have to work as hard unless you have drafts and it has to cycle on and off all the time. Generally having more capacity is always a good thing for mechanical things.
> if you have a large compressor, you pay more for it with every revolution the trick is to figure the maximum BTUs or watts you will need, and design a little bit smaller. Plan to use a supplimental energy source to fill in during extreme conditions.
Worth noting the AC_Hacker paid $25 for the AC he used for this.
As I understand it, it comes down to a couple of things.
Heat pumps are much more efficient when providing lower temperature flows, their efficiency drops off significantly where the delta between the heat source (air or ground) and their flow temperate is higher.
When an oversized heat pump cycles it is going to quickly reach a higher temperate and shut off where as a correctly sized unit will cycle for longer. So I guess simply it comes down to having the heat pump operate in the most efficient range for that property for longer vs. short spikes at temperature where it is less efficient.
Most heat pumps have a variable speed motors so they can modulate their output to match a desired flow temperature but this only operates within a range relative to the size of the unit. So if the unit isn’t correctly sized for the required heat output to be in its range then it has no choice but to cycle inefficiently.
A couple of sources I found helpful:
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/...
Most of the consumer advice is very low level - this Heat Geeks site seems better that most, but it still lacks enough detail for me to get into the numbers: https://www.heatgeek.com/3-steps-to-maximise-your-heat-pump-...