Re:Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis po...
by greatpostman on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @02:58PM
(#32929778)
This is an insane assertion. The fed has made consistent huge mistakes in monetary policy. No serious investor or public financial figure thinks these cheap rates were necessary
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Re:Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis po...
by JamesBarney on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @04:54PM
(#32931378)
Lots of people who wished the natural interest rate was lower liked to blame the Fed instead of fundamentals. But if the Fed has set the interest rates too low we would have had runway inflation from an overheating economy instead of a low prime age employment % (which suggests the interest rates were too high).
Re:Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis po...
by greatpostman on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @06:44PM
(#32932564)
No you don’t get it. Risk assets are priced from interest rates. Low interest rates inflated assets, which caused mass wealth inequality and excess wealth made by owners of capital. The picture is way more complex, we have had deflation due to outsourcing and technology. So it’s been impossible to get inflation.
Re:Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis po...
by colinmhayes on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @04:04PM
(#32930782)
This is an insane assertion, if only because the Fed is run by public financial figures.
Re:Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis po...
by bryanlarsen on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @03:07PM
(#32929944)
We live in a world that is awash in capital because old people & rich people have a large amount of capital. When the supply of something is high, the price goes down. And the price of capital is interest rates.
Re:Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis po...
by greatpostman on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @03:11PM
(#32930012)
The excess liquidity comes from low rates. No serious financial investor thinks otherwise
Re:Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis po...
by thechao on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @03:31PM
(#32930315)
I had literally never thought of this in any way. I've just finished reading two papers: one which shows that net-investment isn't really correlated to savings or interest rates which exactly supports your position (with data!); and, a second which shows that the ratio of old-to-young people is an incredibly good predictor of interest rates (with data!).
You're both right? I suspect that means there must be a third option.
Re:Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 75 basis po...
by bryanlarsen on Wednesday September 21, 2022 @04:11PM
(#32930869)
$6T of QE is about 1/10th the size of the US bond market and 1/20th the size of the US stock market.