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A comment on Futurist prediction methods and accuracy. Parent comment

Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by TigeriusKirk on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @10:20PM (#32832568)
Specifically he would be surprised if there isn't a computer with greater than human intelligence by 2030.

It's interesting that 29 years after he said that, and 8 years remaining on the timeline, it's not completely out of the realm of possibility.

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Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by abecedarius on Wednesday September 14, 2022 @01:00AM (#32833487)
One of the example possibilities mentioned in one of his essays or interviews was, what if with some poorly-understood tweaks to neural network training, it started working much better at scale? At the time I thought he was really reaching with that one.
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