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Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by tomjakubowski on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @08:00PM (#32831664)
Caplan can still get a push on that bet if NOAA stops publishing the data before the end of 2029. Two presidential elections to go.
Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by yuan43 on Wednesday September 14, 2022 @11:09AM (#32838323)
I would not rule that out, and maybe that was part of his thinking.
Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by tomjakubowski on Wednesday September 14, 2022 @01:40PM (#32840576)
Maybe, but the push outcome has no upside. I have no idea where he saw any upside in this bet.