Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy
by notahacker on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @07:33PM
(#32831472)
The "local exponential increase will continue forever" is the normal bad forecasting bit. It's everything else about the Singularity belief system that looks like religious millennialism and fits the same niche:
projections based on the appeal of culturally significant stories rather than actual developments, the certainty the dramatic change will happen in the near future to people like them as a result of powerful forces called by people like them, the near future technology being sufficiently advanced to be indistinguishable from magic, the insistence this is a path to immortality or terrible destruction but nothing more modest, even sometimes the insistence there's something profoundly immoral about not believing in it.
Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy
by dane-pgp on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @07:57PM
(#32831646)
> taking "Rapture" literature and replacing a few words and publishing it as Singularity literature
What if I told you that's not a coincidence?
https://www.christianevidence.net/2019/01/gods-7000-year-pla...
So much of it is "local exponential increase will continue forever" despite all the laws of nature screaming it won't.