Futurist prediction methods and accuracy

Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by pfdietz on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @05:26PM (#32830390)

> What we have now is dystopian futurism

Unless you live in that large part of the world where living standards having been rising quickly.

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Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by rednerrus on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @05:33PM (#32830448)

So everywhere in the world?

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Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by postsantum on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @06:18PM (#32830892)

You can use life expectancy as a proxy for the level of living standards. Spoiler: not everywhere

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Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by ChadNauseam on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @06:36PM (#32831053)

I don't see why I'd use that particular metric of living standards. There's few places in the world where I think life on average isn't better now than it was 50 years ago, even if you ignore innovations like the internet.

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Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by rednerrus on Thursday September 15, 2022 @04:59PM (#32858380)

The things killing people in the developed world are diseases of excess. People literally have too much stuff.

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Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy by pfdietz on Monday September 26, 2022 @06:22AM (#32981336)

It's also possible they're diseases of despair. Advanced economies are highly competitive, and if you are losing in that competition it's crushing, even if your standard of living is good in an absolute sense.

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