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A comment on Edible insects role in transmission of parasitic diseases to humans (2019). Parent comment

Re:Edible insects role in transmission of parasitic diseases... by shaburn on Thursday August 18, 2022 @01:36AM (#32505698)
Extremely probable as well as extremely dangerous outcome. Analogous to the risk of ruin in finance, not simply an undesirable out probability.

Should we not believe the research above to contain 1/3 insects tested carried pathogenic parasites? Does this not strike you as extreme. Potentially an order or orders of magnitude more dangerous?

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Edible insects role in transmission of parasitic diseases... by eru on Thursday August 18, 2022 @01:43AM (#32505735)
Eating insects is about as dangerous as it was ten years ago or twenty years ago.

If more people are eating insects than before that might increase risks.

I don't really have any opinion on this, nor any horse in the race.

But, what does any of this have to do with exponentials?

> [...] the probability of catastrophic outcomes is exponential [...]

Exponential in what input variable?

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Edible insects role in transmission of parasitic diseases... by shaburn on Thursday August 18, 2022 @03:31PM (#32513879)
The act in isolation. Yes. But When a society eating societies of bugs both increase you get exponential increases in probability of transmission of terminal diseases. This is literally High School biology in the US.
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Re:Edible insects role in transmission of parasitic diseases... by runnig on Thursday August 18, 2022 @02:22AM (#32505979)
probably they mean

``` probability(catastrophic outcomes) == e ```

/s

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