Re:The Mystery of the Frog Riddle
by aaron695 on Wednesday August 17, 2022 @08:22AM
(#32495288)
This is wrong. I did a Monte Carlo
The information they are missing is two male frogs croak twice as much
It's 50% the 2 frogs are male.
I throw out times no one croaks and times you hear more than one croak. I throw out times it's not two frogs.
I assume you can't hear/tell a female croak since it's only the male that's 'distinctive'.
What I don't find intuitive is I thought it would be a little less than 50% since two males are more likely to croak twice which voids the scenario.
But who cares, in practice you'll never be doing probabilities, life is to complex to do important things from formular, just Monte Carlo it, aka fuzzing for statisticians.
The information they are missing is two male frogs croak twice as much
It's 50% the 2 frogs are male.
I throw out times no one croaks and times you hear more than one croak. I throw out times it's not two frogs.
I assume you can't hear/tell a female croak since it's only the male that's 'distinctive'.
What I don't find intuitive is I thought it would be a little less than 50% since two males are more likely to croak twice which voids the scenario.
But who cares, in practice you'll never be doing probabilities, life is to complex to do important things from formular, just Monte Carlo it, aka fuzzing for statisticians.