Re:U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%
by Workaccount2 on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @10:46AM
(#32412880)
I remember day 1 of the war when 4-star generals where on TV saying Ukraine was going to get rolled.
Re:U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%
by sanderjd on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @11:34AM
(#32413705)
It seems to me that they are right about the "attritional conflict that risks a protracted war" part, but that the ability to accurately forecast the outcome of such a war is extremely limited. If one side were winning easily and quickly, it would be easy to predict the outcome. With a long tug of war conflict, forecasting is much less useful.
Re:U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%
by kranke155 on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @11:55AM
(#32414125)
You're right. That's the current situation on the ground, but RUSI certainly can't predict the future, and they do suggest that with increased deliveries of Western weaponry, it's possible Ukraine will succeed.
Re:U.S. annual inflation rate drops to 8.5%
by diordiderot on Wednesday August 10, 2022 @01:57PM
(#32416005)
This will be over in a few days"- the"einxperts" in February
The RUSI - Royal United Services Institute - is a leading UK military institute that had boots on the ground assessing the situation. Here is their assessment. https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/special-r...
"At present, however, several Russian advantages and Ukrainian weaknesses are leading to an attritional conflict that risks a protracted war, eventually favouring Russia."
And here's the companion podcast https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/a-turning-point-in-ukr...
It will tell you a lot of things, including that Ukraine's losses are far higher than the general public estimates, as Ukraine successfully hid/minimized the awareness of its losses from phase 1 of the war.
I also recommend the War on the Rocks podcast with Michael Kofman, whose assessment of the situation is also not too rosy.
I am extremely pro ukraine. But that's the reality. At the moment Russia is winning and Ukraine is losing, just very slowly.