News for hackers. Stuff that matters.

A comment on XKCD's Randall Munroe runs Monte Carlo on Intrade's per-state markets . Parent comment

Re:XKCD's Randall Munroe runs Monte Carlo on Intrade's per-s... by neilc on Saturday October 04, 2008 @06:24PM (#323692)
"This snapshot approach doesn't really predict upcoming regional or national shifts"

So I don't think your interpretation is correct.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:XKCD's Randall Munroe runs Monte Carlo on Intrade's per-s... by mattmaroon on Saturday October 04, 2008 @11:43PM (#323825)
Well, I'm certainly not arguing that these odds are correct overall. I figure there's a 10% chance we'll find out that either candidate once murdered a hooker at a party of Ted Kennedy's.

I see now what is meant though by Eliezer's comment, I think I missed it at first. I'll have to think about the effect on the outcome though. Luckily I have lots of friends with math PhDs.

[ Parent | on HN ]