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Re:Yes, the U.S. economy is likely in recession by xanaxagoras on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @10:28AM (#32332161)
Yes, this usage is basically "wahrscheinlich". Here it is a rhetorical device to soften the author's conclusion:

> The bottom line is that, with the announcement on July 28 of a two-quarter GDP decline, we can be highly confident that the U.S. economy entered a recession early in 2022.

This will usually be the case. When something is likely X it is probably X, not possibly X.

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