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Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by dr_dshiv on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @03:10AM (#32328563)
What does meaningful system change mean to you? 1. Trillions of dollars of investment in the transition to solar? 2. Carbon tax (and other taxes on externalities?) 3. Abandoning combustion engines and switching to electric? 4. Moral persuasion to convince people to that humans are a cancer upon the earth?

1,2,3 have huge potential for climate and economic value. 4 is a straw man that obviously does nothing. But what do you propose exactly?

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by ttiurani on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @03:37AM (#32328718)
None of them are system changes.

Yes, 1 and 3 would be fantastic – although switching to electric without at the same time reducing SOVs is IMO very inadequate if you take int account all of the planetary boundaries, not just climate change. 2 is a policy that might stem from the system change, not the actual change. 4 is not based on facts: there are billions of people in the world who are living within planetary boundaries. Can't stress this enough: it's not "humans" that are the problem but the wealthy people that are taking more from nature than nature can regenerate.

A meaningful system change to me is where there is a deliberate and continued reduction in material flows and energy use in the rich countries until they are below planetary boundaries. That can be done if they deliberately start reducing overproduction. That in turn would happen if governments would abandon the goal of aggregate economic growth across all sectors, but instead increase the parts of the economy that produce well-being and scale down the parts that don't. Another system change would be if the rich countries would pay for the catastrophic damage they have inflicted on the countries worst affected by climate change, and then stop taking advantage of poor countries by ending unequal exchange.

Those would be system changes.

I'm not saying nothing except politics is needed – everything would be doubly hard if e.g. solar wouldn't have become so cheap.

But given what is easy in the current world (producing and selling stuff) and what is hard (creating political change), I wish that the most capable and smartest people in the world would work mostly on the hard parts.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by vaughandroid on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @04:57AM (#32329290)
"...if governments would abandon the goal of aggregate economic growth across all sectors..."

You've obviously thought about this topic quite deeply - have you heard any realistic proposals on how to achieven this? I have yet to hear any, and until I do I'll be devoting my energy to changes that have at least some chance of being enacted, like a carbon tax.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by ttiurani on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @05:10AM (#32329385)
There is no easy answer, and making a change this big is a monumental task. Personally I've still come to think that just because making this change is very hard, that's not an excuse for me to not try, because the alternative is so much worse.

What I'm talking about is what the academic degrowth research has been working on for the past 20 years. (What's under the degrowth umbrella is the current wave of discussions started by the 50 year old "The Limits to Growth" report.) Doughnut economics is also intimately related.

If you want to learn more, as it happens, there is a brand new book "Degrowth & Strategy" with a free PDF here:

http://mayflybooks.org/degrowth-strategy

Note: I haven't yet read it, but it has got a lot of endorsements and great reviews from the top researches on the field, so it should be good.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by suoduandao2 on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @08:33AM (#32330829)
Andrew Yang's proposal in the last Democratinc party primary of replacing GDP with a 'national report card' seems like a realistic-enough approach. In fact, I'd say if one views Andrew Yang's platform as a whole (particularly the heavy value-added tax) through an environmental perspective, I'd say he had the best environmental proposals I've seen for any politician in my lifetime.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by mantas on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @06:40AM (#32329937)
The problem with political change is that then it becomes highly polarised political topic. With some people pushing rebranded communist ideas. Then suddenly it becomes political spectrum issue and not climate issue.

Let alone that historically non-capitalist countries had terrible ecological track record. For example here in ex-USSR. In USSR era ecological situation was pure catastrophe. But we're making massive improvements for the last few decades. And capitalist market economy works damn great to support ecological efforts.

> Another system change would be if the rich countries would pay for the catastrophic damage they have inflicted on the countries worst affected by climate change, and then stop taking advantage of poor countries by ending unequal exchange.

So, let already rich elite in poor country syphon even more money off rich countries? While making rich countries poor, so there's a big chance for elite in rich countries become even more detached, similar to poor countries. Global elite unite & fuck over the rest...

Also, „reducing overproduction“ will fuck over poor countries much more. Make stuff expensive to produce and suddenly bringing back manufacturing is much more viable.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by tremon on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @07:09AM (#32330139)
The problem with political change is that then it becomes highly polarised political topic

Indeed, and the best way to avoid that is to ignore the people using pushing their polarising simplistic us-vs-them rhetoric into the discussion.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by skff on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @07:35AM (#32330319)
ahm, so, how exactly was ex-USSR ecologically worse than western countries, that were already producing en masse all sorts of single time use plastic unnecessary products, solely for the purpose of economic growth? Single time coca-cola bottles, plastic wrapping etc were not found in USSR. Yes, certain energy sectors were inefficient, and burning a lot of energy in vain, but still it seems to me that it was way less environmentally impactful than consumer society in the west. But that's just my personal armature opinion.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by mantas on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @07:49AM (#32330437)
It was not „inefficiency“. It was environmental disasters left & right without nobody responsible. Single-use plastics is peanuts compared to just dumping chemicals and bio waste left and right.

For example, there is a lake in my hometown. Next to it, there was a carpets factory. Do you know how you could know what color they'd use that day? Just go swim in the lake in the evening :) The factory didn't care. Upper tier of the party doesn't care if some workers' town lake is messed up. There's neither resources nor incentive to take care of it.

If you'd go to local party office or KGB, they'd laugh you off and go party with the factory management :) Oh, and you probably work in the same factory. Or local school/shop/water, which is run by the same single party as the factory.

As a citizen, do you want to vote with your wallet and not buy carpet made in such way? Tough luck, that's the only carpet factory you get it from :)

State farm in the outskirts of town was run in same way. Just drop fertilizer in a water ditch and call it a day. Who cares how much you produce and that local ecological system is messed up? Meanwhile tractor driver can steal diesel planned for fertilising the fields and sell it in black market :)

It's not a random town with tough luck. This was modus operandi throughout USSR. If you want bigger scale stories, look up lake Karachay and Majak nuclear accident(s) :) Same line if thinking, just worse consequences.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by ZeroGravitas on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @08:28AM (#32330790)
Fertilizer in water is a problem to this day in capitalist USA. And every attempt to limit it is attacked, ironically, as communism.

https://www.epa.gov/nutrientpollution/sources-and-solutions-...

The EPA itself was started by a right-wing president because rivers were catching fire due to pollutants.

In China, a nominally communist party is working to shift from coal because air pollution was a threat to their continued rule.

Politics is definately important to climate change, but not the team sports level politics that many indulge in.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by mantas on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @08:55AM (#32331060)
Not fertilizer in water. But literalyl piles of fertilizer in water ditches. No farmer in market economy would do that, because fertilizer is damn expensive.

China is turning away from coal mostly because they don't want to be dependent on Australia and other sources of coal.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by ZeroGravitas on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @09:06AM (#32331178)
> No farmer in market economy would do that, because fertilizer is damn expensive.

Farmers in market economies literally do this, when the costs are externalities to them, it's the same thing being done for the same reason.

With the right incentives, they'll do something else.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by mantas on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @09:52AM (#32331665)
How would you structure incentives in market economy to incentivise discarding fertiliser in ditches? In worst case, you'd be better off selling it in black market.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by almost_usual on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @03:21AM (#32328622)
If I had to guess it’s ending consumerism and growth at all costs.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by badpun on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @03:34AM (#32328696)
Probably heavy taxation of consumption and lowering the average standard of living across the globe. Too bad it's a pipe dream, people will never vote for it and an dictator that tries to impose it will be overthrown.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by Scarblac on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @04:10AM (#32328953)
Not across the globe. Only in rich countries where the current standard of living is unsustainable.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by ZeroGravitas on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @08:34AM (#32330837)
It's not the "standard of living" that is unsustainable.

The USA wastes a lot more resources to achieve similar standard of living to Europe. And even Europe is putting a lot of effort into policies that simultaneously improve their standard of living and reduce waste or pollution.

Saying that "standard of living" is synonymous with "amount of fossil fuels you burn" is standard climate change denier rhetoric.

People with efficient cars and well insulated homes have higher standards of living than those who don't.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by badpun on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @08:48AM (#32330982)
> The USA wastes a lot more resources to achieve similar standard of living to Europe.

It's not similar though. Americans live in way bigger homes and on way bigger plots of land. Streets are wider. Everything is less cramped in general. Also, US has possibly the best health care quality (note I'm not discussing health care _insurance_) in the world. They can also afford more consumer niceties (iPhones, nice cars, foreign vacations etc.). All that extra stuff and quality requires extra fossil fuels and minerals.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by Mildlypolite on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @09:24AM (#32331373)
How comes that you have the "best health care quality" but all the indicators of health care quality like life expectancy is among the worse in the Western world?
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by badpun on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @02:56PM (#32335486)
Because its's good (and expensive) that not everyone can afford it?
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by Scarblac on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @09:40AM (#32331538)
It's not only about fossil fuels. It's about all the resources that we use more of than is regenerated each year. I think both the US and Europe use too much.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by ZeroGravitas on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @10:41AM (#32332395)
Can you be more specific? What are they using too much of?

Water, Uranium, Gold, Copper, Sand?

Whatever it is, there's almost a certainly a way to use it more efficiently and therefore improve standards of living in Europe, and the rest of the world, at the same time.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by Scarblac on Thursday August 04, 2022 @08:05AM (#32341775)
Fossil fuels, fresh water, CO2 budget to limit warming, fertile soil, artificial fertilizer.

And things that are mined in general (like metals). They won't run out but as we mine the easy deposits first, the amount of energy it costs to mine a given amount will be forever increasing. E.g., eventually it will cost more energy to mine the materials for a wind mill than the electricity it will generate in its lifetime.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by badpun on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @04:18AM (#32329012)
I'd be shocked if even one country does it in a meaningful way. It's just so contrary to human nature.

I think the only thing that can save us short-term is technology. Inventing and implementing new gizmos is something we're actually good at. Long-term we're probably screwed anyway, because we'll eventually disturb the biological systems on the Earth too much (either via pollution, ocean acidification, killing biodiversity, soil depletion etc.), and they're way too immense and complex for us to fix. People forget that we're part of Earth's ecosystem, but if we disturb it too much we'll be reminded of it either via plagues (we got a taste of it already) and/or famines.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by Scarblac on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @04:41AM (#32329173)
Well, it will happen, because the current standard is unsustainable, and that's the definition of the word.

The only thing is whether any of it will be in a somewhat controlled, damage limiting fashion, or will it be just one stupid catastrophe after another.

I feel new gizmos are generally just more fuel onto the fire of consumerism, and will just speed up the process, not slow it.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by Mildlypolite on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @06:23AM (#32329821)
"Environmental problems have contributed to numerous collapses of civilizations in the past. Now, for the first time, a global collapse appears likely. Overpopulation, overconsumption by the rich and poor choices of technologies are major drivers; dramatic cultural change provides the main hope of averting calamity." https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3574335/

The only pipe dream is to continue breaching the planet boundaries.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by badpun on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @07:21AM (#32330208)
I mean, of course, it will happen, but not as a voluntary self-limitation, but as hitting against hard limits, especially as they start shriking.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by Mildlypolite on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @09:09AM (#32331206)
Of course, voluntary self limitation is unlikely.

But severe limitations were imposed during wars on the population by the state, so they are in the realm of possibility (once we acknowledge the severity of the problem, which we are not doing, because of many reasons).

We should also add that the expansion of renewables energy create more jobs than the fossil fuel sector, therefore there is at least some hope of this limitations being not as severe as w think. It was calculated that, to be sustainable, the lifestyle should go back to the sixties, during which we lived fairly well but without a savage overconsumption as now.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by dr_dshiv on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @01:01PM (#32334239)
The idea of planetary boundaries is ridiculous. Are you talking about the collapse of an ecosystem? Multiple ecosystems? That’s still defined. But planetary boundaries is another word for “saving the earth.”

No. The earth doesn’t need saving. The diversity of life needs saving. Planetary boundaries is the wrong goal.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by Mildlypolite on Thursday August 04, 2022 @03:53AM (#32340318)
Read the paper please, planet boundaries are scientifically defined.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by dr_dshiv on Tuesday August 09, 2022 @05:52PM (#32404844)
It’s not in the paper, actually (searched for “bound”). Reading the Wikipedia makes me feel like it is bad science, tbh. Meaning, too popular to critique adequately. But it makes no sense. Biodiversity isn’t a boundary it is a goal.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by bjourne on Thursday August 04, 2022 @12:56PM (#32345381)
Let's redefine "standard of living" from owning a SUV to feel "safe" to owning a guitar and having time to learn how to play it.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by carschno on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @03:21AM (#32328620)
> What does meaningful system change mean to you?

I would also like to have something more concrete here, but I think the GP hinted at why there is no single elevator pitch-like answer to real-world problems like climate change:

>> [...] have a grasp on all of the different ways the environment is being destroyed (not just "climate")

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by collyw on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @04:11AM (#32328964)
Where is the electricity coming from to charge your electric vehicles? Electric vehicles have a lot of potential to reduce pollution and noise in cities, but as a solution to "fixing" inevitable climate they are a con.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by dagss on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @04:25AM (#32329067)
Electric vehicles use a lot less energy in total in the supply chain than gasoline cars (extracting and refining and transporting oil uses a lot of energy too, some of it electricity).

So electric vehicles reduces the energy required.

Longer term: Gasoline cars are not viable at all; electric cars are viable to the extent one can secure the energy for them. It is a way of getting any road transportation done in the future AT ALL; that is surely not a con?

I hope noone is arguing that moving to electric cars by itself is sufficient to stop climate change. That would be a con but also seems like a strawman.

The goal should be net zero, and electric cars are needed to have road transportation at all.

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by tremon on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @07:15AM (#32330172)
Absolutely agreed, except for one part: I don't think net zero will be enough. It might have been enough if we were at net zero thirty years ago. But now, in addition to net zero (which would be an impressive feat to achieve, society-wide), we need to work on absorbing carbon from the atmosphere, before the ocean does it for us.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by collyw on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @08:25AM (#32330764)
What won't net zero be enough for?

The mythical climate change boogeyman, that's hasn't melted all the glaciers or put Manhattan underwater like we were warned of 30 years ago.The fearmongering is all based on models- and covid demonstrated how useless those are with complex systems.

What's the solid evidence any of it will happen? The IPCC model is an average of other models, it has no validity by itself (just reject the carp models until it's past performance looks good). What models have had an accurate forecast and for how long?

https://nypost.com/2020/01/10/the-telling-tale-of-glacier-na...

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by tremon on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @09:03AM (#32331147)
What's the solid evidence any of it will happen?

What kinds of solid evidence will you accept? Should we wait until all corals have bleached and withered away? Should we wait until all of Greenland is arable? How many years of drought should California endure until you might start accepting that maybe something has been changing for the worse?

Or should we rather ignore you and focus instead on things we can change?

Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by tcfhgj on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @07:10AM (#32330153)
Nope, the goal must be net negative... If you dont want to end up with at least 4-8 degrees more
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by collyw on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @08:26AM (#32330768)
This is pure speculation, not based in any kind of falsifiable science.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by tcfhgj on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @09:19AM (#32331323)
It's not speculation. It's just looking at CO2 levels and their corresponding equilibria
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by collyw on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @08:27AM (#32330773)
The climate has always changed. Trying to stop it is an exercise in stupidity.
Re:Ask HN: Working in tech for climate? by zaccusl on Wednesday August 03, 2022 @06:49PM (#32337411)
Can two thing not be true?

1. the climate has always changed. 2. the rate of change depends on a lot things, among them how much green house gases exist in the atmosphere.

You have to have a pretty poor understanding of science to deny either one.