Re:US Gross Domestic Product, Second Quarter 2022 (Advance E...
by 8note on Thursday July 28, 2022 @09:23PM
(#32272061)
I'm not clear that "in a recession" is a particularly useful state to anyone.
Even with a complex formula, you're still dropping the useful details.
Even with a predictable complicated formula, you still have the question to debate: "does it matter?"
Re:US Gross Domestic Product, Second Quarter 2022 (Advance E...
by smsm42 on Friday July 29, 2022 @01:05AM
(#32273348)
People like certainty more than uncertainty, even if it's a bad certainty. That's why the have all these classifiers. It's easier to handle two situations "we're in a recession, we're not in a recession" than track about 50 economic parameters that are interwoven in a thousand complex ways. If you are a professional economist, you probably need to do the latter, but if you are a regular person, you probably have neither time nor capability to do it.
Instead what we're getting is "holistic criteria" which means pundits can argue on TV for hours (which they probably love to) and everybody gets to keep their partisan views and there's no objective meaning to any terms anymore. No wonder people have low confidence in "experts" and grasp at whatever they find on the internet to find some clarity.