Prediction:

HIMARS 300 km. Destroys the Russian dependency on railroads and with that, Russian military logistics capacity.

Eg. Crimea:

https://warsawinstitute.org/train-crimea-russia-condemned-op...

https://newsbeezer.com/vietnameng/russia-deploys-smoke-scree...

Their priority is also their weakness.

Just look at the slow Russian advance without railroads in eg. Kyiv in the beginning of the war. They were stalled for weeks, because the composition of their BTG's are based on nearby access to railroads infrastructure.

> HIMARS 300 km. Destroys the Russian dependency on railroads and with that, Russian military logistics capacity.

That's a bit too wonder-weapony for me to think that it will actually happen that way.

That Crimean bridge seems like it could be destroyed effectively, but it's out of range. With the Donbas, I wonder if any damage could be repaired relatively quickly, since it would obviously be a priority.

You can’t destroy railroads easily. They’re simple to repair. Russia’s problem is they don’t know what to do when the train reaches the end. The HIMARS are destroying the ammo dumps because all Russia can do is unload stuff from trains and put it into one place, then truck it around as needed. They don’t have enough trucks or loading equipment to change this strategy. So if you need to get goods from Russia to the front, your only option is to train it a place outside HIMAR range and then truck the last grueling 100km which is really slow and ineffective. Not too dissimilar from the kyiv convoy early on.

I don't get how they can be so dependent on rail. How did they ever threaten all of Western Europe if that was their strategy?

Nukes

Why do you call Donetsk and Lugansk "Donbwabwe and Luganda"?

It's clearly a play on the names of African countries Zimbabwe and Uganda, but was is your message?

Is it a show of disparaging attitude towards the people living in the East of Ukraine?

Not people. Criminal neo-Stalinist enclaves that Lungansk and Donetsk were turned into by Russia.

People routinely disappear, being put in the basement (na podval), tortured for smallest reasons.

Drafts when people are being used a cannon fodder.

It’s a disgrace what Putin’s people turned this place into over 8 years.

Same or worse fate awaits newly occupied territories too.

Is Crimea a criminal neo-Stalinist enclave too? Just asking.

Crimea is closer to a regular Russian region. Criminal groups affiliated to state and police rule. All dissent is suppressed and you’ll more likely to be harassed than murdered or disappear. DNR and LNR are more brutal, severe and chaotic.

Exactly all that lotusmars wrote.

It is a crime against humanity.