Re:Manhattan rents cross $5k threshold for first time
by filoleg on Friday July 15, 2022 @04:32PM
(#32112466)
> I'd think the average number of people there each day is much closer to the relevant number.
Yes, and that "average number of people there each day" would include all the non-residents/tourists in the city. Which is a non-trivial number at all for NYC.
Re:Manhattan rents cross $5k threshold for first time
by Dylan16807 on Friday July 15, 2022 @08:39PM
(#32114254)
Yes, of course it would count them. But that number will be much much smaller. If the average visitor is there for a week, then a million yearly visitors only increase the daily population by 20k. You'd expect a crime increase equivalent to 20k residents or less.
So if there really is an 11x increase in crime, along with a 10x increase in yearly population, that's actually a huge increase in crime on a per-person per-day basis.
Re:Manhattan rents cross $5k threshold for first time
by filoleg on Sunday July 17, 2022 @01:32PM
(#32128984)
> If the average visitor is there for a week, then a million yearly visitors only increase the daily population by 20k
Correct, but NYC had 66 million visitors in 2019[0], which is way more than 1mil you guesstimated.
Which, conversely, would increase the daily population by 20k*66=1.32mil. 1.32mil is a non-trivial increase in daily population at all.
0. https://www.osc.state.ny.us/reports/osdc/tourism-industry-ne...
That number doesn't really matter, does it? I'd think the average number of people there each day is much closer to the relevant number.