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A comment on FiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast. Parent comment

Re:FiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast by GameOfFrowns on Thursday June 30, 2022 @12:44PM (#31935143)
>That means among their simulations is very likely to be an instance that is similar to the real outcome.

So what? If you only make enough enough predictions then some of those will turn out predict the future correctly. It is how "The Simpsons did it first" meme came into being.

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Re:FiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast by beardedetim on Thursday June 30, 2022 @12:56PM (#31935312)
> If you only make enough enough predictions then some of those will turn out predict the future correctly.

If we have a coin and we say "It's 50% chance it lands heads" and it lands tails, were we wrong?

If we have a 20-sided die and we say "It has a 5% chance of landing on 20" and it lands on 20, were we wrong?

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Re:FiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast by GameOfFrowns on Thursday June 30, 2022 @01:09PM (#31935473)
Depends, is the coin a Democratic party establishment candidate and the predictor part of the liberal politico-media complex trying to prime an audience?
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