Younger Dryas cosmic impact of 12,800 years ago (2018)

Re:Younger Dryas cosmic impact of 12,800 years ago (2018) by ellopoppit on Thursday June 16, 2022 @09:30AM (#31765830)

According to Randall Carlson, "civilization ending climate catastrophies" such as the Younger Dryas extinction event have been ocurring at a tempo of about 1 every ~10,000 years, for at least the last 160,000 years.

So it would seem were about 2000 years overdue for the next one.

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Re:Younger Dryas cosmic impact of 12,800 years ago (2018) by ncmncm on Friday June 17, 2022 @12:01AM (#31773982)

That's like saying you are due for boxcars. An average rate tells you nothing about when it will happen.

We are also late for the earthquake that will wipe out civilization in the Pacific NW USA/Canada. Estimates are two years to restore electric power. Last one was 1700. The tsunami was noted in Japan.

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Re:Younger Dryas cosmic impact of 12,800 years ago (2018) by ellopoppit on Friday June 17, 2022 @04:59PM (#31784309)

You don't think averages are useful at all for predicting climate and weather cycles?

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Re:Younger Dryas cosmic impact of 12,800 years ago (2018) by ncmncm on Saturday June 18, 2022 @01:38AM (#31787489)

They tell you averages, which can be useful. Stats about cycles are also useful.

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Re:Younger Dryas cosmic impact of 12,800 years ago (2018) by tastyfreeze on Thursday June 16, 2022 @10:57AM (#31766801)

Maybe we are lucky and all the big pieces have already hit.

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Re:Younger Dryas cosmic impact of 12,800 years ago (2018) by ellopoppit on Thursday June 16, 2022 @11:13AM (#31767003)

Impacts are only one of a number of different theories for the many major climate changes over the past 160,000 years

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