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Re:Monty Hall Problem by crwilcox on Thursday June 09, 2022 @02:29PM (#31684998)
A common way to explain this is to increase the number of doors.

You have 100 doors, select one blindly, and have a 1% chance of being correct.

The host removes all but one other door. Do you stay with the door you chose, a random guess of 100, or the one remaining after the host has removed all others? A door that is now statistically much more likely to be the correct choice?

Re:Monty Hall Problem by irthomasthomas on Thursday June 09, 2022 @03:23PM (#31685629)
Good idea. That makes it extremely obvious. Hard to believe that Erdos didn't believe this until he did monte carlo simulations.