Specific sanctions (no electronics for Russia) very much impact militaries and industry. This does not affect current stocks, but affects the ability to build new stuff.
Broad sanctions slow down economy and affect target state's ability to afford stuff which very much impacts the military.
If China said "we're no longer shipping electronics to America and will not do business with anyone who does" China would collapse pretty quickly, because they need to manufacture and sell things in order to afford food. They would also not be able to buy oil and coal and other things they need.
Basically nothing you said is true, but most of all, worrying about Russian civilians (who almost all support the war) while Russian soldiers are raping, murdering and looting left and right is just disgusting.
Where do you think the Russians get food from?
The belief in sanctions is the belief that the dollar is the one world currency - the silver coin. It’s fixed exchange rate thinking long after that went away
All that needs to happen for people to be fed is for there to be a circular economy in agriculture that produces a vast surplus.
Both China and Russia can do that internally now and certainly between themselves.
China and Russia has no need to sell anything outside of China and Russia. A simple Yuan-Rouble floating exchange rate will work just fine.
The people that lose out are those that can no longer access Chinese and Russian output in return for mere electronic promises. That’s the net importers of the West.
Russia is below 2% of Chinese trade and decreasing. Netherlands, 10 million people country matters more for Chinese trade than Russia.
China only wants Russia to sold cheap raw resources, and will squeeze them until they fold like Iran. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran%E2%80%93China_25-year_Coo...
Being a net importer is great. Net exporters sell their goods, getting way less than they produced and sold. What happens with your foreign currency reserves in times of high inflation like now? They rapidly devalue.
You can see sanctions work - both in specific effects (e.g. a factory producing missiles has to stop since it can't get chips) and in some macroeconomic effects - though those are harder to disentangle from the general chaos of everything.
It is much harder to see sanctions not work, how would you even discern that?
As for Cuba, I have no idea what USA is doing there.
That’s true whether the blunt response is economic sanctions or widespread bombing.
Those actions might still be the best available response overall, but that conclusion should be reached after considering the effects on innocent civilians, not after ignoring them.
As usual, please note that even according to the official polls (and knowing that public opposition to the war is in some cases punishable by law), 18% of the population do not support the war:
https://wciom-ru.translate.goog/analytical-reviews/analitich...
This amounts to ~18 million of adult citizens of the country. There are only 7 countries in Europe that have a population larger than 18 million.
It's disgusting that you translate blatant low-quality propaganda which clearly aims to amplify hatred. Even Zelensky had to fire Denisova who was behind the most outrageous lies about "raping". The Western media liked to re-translate her sexual fantasies, but have you heard any official refutations of those claims?
P.S.: I wonder why this comment was flagged. Is the Denisova's case became too toxic and ruins the demonization narrative?
Saying the obvious fact Russian army rapes shouldn't amplify hatred, because the Russian army should already be hated and despised for it's brutality. To an extent it's not their direct fault because many of soldiers are just poor young guys acting on primal instincts with nobody to teach them better ( on the contrary, their war crimes are encouraged).
This somehow tickled my funny bone. I mean, who can deny that you’re an expert on the subject?
Those who can move -- move out of the country (usually the most economically active people), weakening the regime ability to make weapons.
Those who starve have nothing to lose, so they start fighting the regime. Revolutions never happen in well fed society.
The misery of the poor and disenfranchised, which you dismiss as people not "having anything anyways", has however been much exacerbated.
Iran too - they've been focused on reverse engineering cold war tech, which they did with mixed results.
contradicts
> potentially seize nearby resources from adjacent countries.
What? My understanding was that the revolution in Iran happened during a period of relative economic prosperity.
If you accept this argument, you are letting the dictator hold his population hostage. Also the same argument applies to killing the invading soldiers.
Also it's not like Russian people are dying from hunger.
Some kid starving to death because of sanctions doesn't understand what's happening. Their parents will be too poor and hungry to meaningfully fight back against their leaders.
It's only going to hurt the vulnerable people in a country - militaries and oligarchs will not be impacted unless you target them specifically and narrowly.
Imagine if China said, "we're no longer shipping electronics to America and will not do business with anyone who does". You and I would experience huge jumps in costs and probably be angry at China, not our own government. But you probably aren't going to take up arms up being down your own government.
Broad sanctions are just bad policy.