News for hackers. Stuff that matters.

A comment on No one expects young men to do anything and they are responding by doing nothing. Parent comment

Re:No one expects young men to do anything and they are resp... by otikik on Sunday April 24, 2022 @11:57AM (#31145276)
The implication of "liberal values = high divorce. Conservative values = low divorce" might make sense intuitively (as one group claims to put more shame on it than the other), but until it is backed with data it is just "an impression".

Here's my 2 minutes attempt:

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/marriage-divorce.htm#state_tab...

I have sorted that list several ways (rate of divorce in 2000, in 1990 and average). Of the top five (Nevada, Arkansas, Oklahoma, Wyoming, Idaho) only Wyoming voted Democrat in 2020. The lowest five (Pennsylvania, Iowa, Illinois, Louisiana, Massachusets) Iowa and Louisiana voted Republican, the rest voted Democrat.

That seems to go against the "intuition" that divorce is less prevalent amongst conservatives.

The list also seems to show a steady general decline across all of the states in divorce rates between 1990 and now.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:No one expects young men to do anything and they are resp... by lolinder on Sunday April 24, 2022 @12:38PM (#31145694)
Comparing divorce rates like that is very hard because where divorce is culturally stigmatized, cohabitation is also stigmatized. The result is you get a bunch of people who get married, have kids, find out they're incompatible, and get divorced.

In other states with different cultures, that exact pattern (including the kids) can play out but never end up in the divorce stats because instead of getting married the couple just lives together for a while. Once kids are involved the negative effects are much the same as in a divorce (minus the legal bills), it just doesn't show up in the stats.

[ Parent | on HN ]