And I would be remiss of I didn't point out that people who go to college at all are more likely to be from well off families and have educated parents. It's a "great investment" for those who already have a huge head start.
>I've personally seen a large number of people with at least one degree fall apart under the real pressure
There are of course false positive/negatives with every heuristic, I don't think that makes them worthless.
> people who go to college at all are more likely to be from well off families and have educated parents.
The studies on how a diploma effects future earnings obviously controlled for that, as well as many other things. You can go ahead and check the studies, they're pretty thorough. College is a great investment for many, even if it is much easier for the wealthy to obtain.
It might not be a good signal of "can overcome adversity" because everyone has one, but not having a degree could be a good signal for "can't overcome adversity".
This is the kind of thing that remains true until it doesn't. Don't get me wrong, it is definitely true right now, and I'd advise my own child to go---but this would a pragmatic knuckling-under, not a fundamental need.
There's significant psychic distress that's created by being a maverick, which I doubly wouldn't wish on my children, so I would still advise them to go. But I would also advise them to not take it too seriously, to be interested in learning things outside of school, and to keep an eye out for off-ramps.
Not saying I was exactly one of those types, but those types ALSO got jobs just fine, and I'm ready to brawl anyone that says they faced any true 'adversity'.
I assumed prices for colleges were increasing because of the availability of cheap debt. I know plenty of people who went to college, taking out large amounts of debt, and not seeming to directly consider their earning potential post-graduation.
I was the only person in my immediate family to go to college, and it was clear from my school and my family that "college = success". I majored in psychology, which has absolutely no job prospects. At no point did I have meaningful support from anyone around me in terms of picking an "effective" degree, or evaluating job opportunities.
It worked out fine for me, because I spent most of my time not paying attention to class and screwing around on the internet instead, so the ~50k in private student loans at an extortionate rate that I had to take out to attend have never been a problem, but it was all by complete luck.
I guess you...overcame adversity by going to college?
Least stressful time of my life. I fucked off, did drugs, and somebody else paid for it all.
So much stress.
Signalling remains incredibly important. Employers want to know that their junior employees are capable of overcoming adversity. There are many ways to check for that, but the easiest is check if they've succeeded in a stressful environment before. That's effectively all a degree is for most jobs.
No, you don't need a college degree to get a white collar job, but convincing employers that you are the type of person who overcomes adversity is much harder without the degree.
As far as the price, last time I checked getting a college education is still statistically the best investment you can make. The price is increasing because people are willing to pay since they recognize how much it will add to their earning potential.