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Re:What software engineers can learn from the rapid collapse... by RC_ITR on Thursday April 07, 2022 @07:42PM (#30951660)
This is such a revealing comment and here's why:

The reason late 90's start-ups invested the way they did is because they had no meaningful way to track the effectiveness of their ads, much less the payback. A Super Bowl ad for Pets.com seems fine if you can (more or less) guess that it adds a bunch of customers.

Since then, start-ups have built a bunch of tools to track customer acquisition costs and paybacks in a pretty sophisticated way, and some of the obviously crazier ads dies (or at least become more one-off).

But now we are in a fintech/crypto era and nobody really knows how to calculate paybacks once again, because the business model is so new vs. a traditional ads or commerce business (will this new crypto.com user do $1k of transaction volume every year for the next ten? sure why not?)

As a result of all this, we see crazy 'spaghetti on the wall' style advertising again, usually focused in the crypto/fintech space (See: this year's Super Bowl). I wonder when the music stops.

Re:What software engineers can learn from the rapid collapse... by tomatowurst on Thursday April 07, 2022 @08:07PM (#30951846)
Very good point and you are not alone seeing the deja vu

Remember beanie babies? We call them NFTs today.

Remember HYIP and e-gold? We call them cryptocurrencies now.

The point is that crowd behavior, especially markets driven by envy & greed, lead to the same outcome. every. single. time.

this is why guys like Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger keep making money.

Re:What software engineers can learn from the rapid collapse... by nailer on Friday April 08, 2022 @09:50AM (#30956735)
Beanie babies aren’t scarce and can only be produced by a single company.
Re:What software engineers can learn from the rapid collapse... by tomatowurst on Friday April 08, 2022 @11:55AM (#30958825)
neither is right clicking on a jpeg and saving it
Re:What software engineers can learn from the rapid collapse... by nailer on Wednesday April 13, 2022 @05:04AM (#31012533)
Neither is photographing the Mona Lisa.
Re:What software engineers can learn from the rapid collapse... by Apocryphon on Thursday April 07, 2022 @08:42PM (#30952053)
The music stops when the Fed tells it to. When interest rates rise appreciably.
Re:What software engineers can learn from the rapid collapse... by henrikschroder on Thursday April 07, 2022 @09:34PM (#30952363)
> I wonder when the music stops.

Who cares? Champagne on the Concord, and let's order a bunch of Starfire servers from Sun Microsystems!

Re:What software engineers can learn from the rapid collapse... by mwcampbell on Thursday April 07, 2022 @10:13PM (#30952595)
> let's order a bunch of Starfire servers from Sun Microsystems!

I wonder if any doomed startups will order a rack from Oxide Computer. I hope Oxide's primary customer base is established companies that actually need serious efficiency at scale.

Re:What software engineers can learn from the rapid collapse... by Nextgrid on Friday April 08, 2022 @04:40AM (#30954725)
Does it matter? If there's an infinite supply of VC-funded startups it doesn't matter whether those startups ultimately succeed - Oxide gets paid upfront either way. If anything, companies burning money by buying your stuff for hype reasons without actually making much use of it is probably better with regards to support queries/warranty claims than those actually making serious use of the equipment.
Re:What software engineers can learn from the rapid collapse... by dinvlad on Thursday April 07, 2022 @09:33PM (#30952357)
Worth adding AI to this list :-)