And before I get completely flayed by the big company supporters, I'll also state that I don't have a problem with money lenders and brokers making a living ... but what we're watching today is flat-out usury.
It's very related to the interest rate set by the Fed, which is very low right now.
I was at the Apple Store in Chicago yesterday and the glass wall was covered in sticky notes and there were flowers and apples on the sidewalk in front of the store. Tourists were gathered around to take pictures of the impromptu memorial, for a man who was worth about $7 billion when he died. These same people wouldn't piss on Lloyd Blankfein to save his life, even though he is worth less than $0.5 billion.
More precisely, protests in Middle east and India were driven by a sense of desperation and last resort of helplessness. Protests in the US seem to be driven by frustration. There is a very evident thing that is emerging out of this protests. Lack of urgency and co operation from all segments of American society. By reading articles on internet what I see is, a very large section of the American society is still in two minds about how to go about it. This isn't a great sign for any revolution.
Besides Americans don't face the same problems as the developing nations. There is genuine sense of urgency and desire among youth in developing nations to do some thing big and change their lives. They see macro changes in government policy as a way to achieve that. They feel such way because for decades they have been starved off opportunities, growth, money and development. There fore they see a genuine urgency in fighting for what they need right now.
America doesn't have those kind of problems. You've had honeymoon period for decades now. You've had fastest developing Urban cities. Clean roads, great infrastructure. Values for capitalism inculcated in your culture. You've had the money and muscle power to twist any foreign government to do what you want. You gone to war and with little resistance achieved what you want.
The problem seems to have started recently, after excessive spending on wars. Employment problems due emergence of China and India on world scene. Mess in the financial system due lack of regulations.
You still don't have that magnitude of pain nor desperation to go to a tipping point to drive a full scale revolution. The American ego that its invincible as a nation is still carried by a lot of people. Although there is hardly any nation on earth today whose glory has remained for ever.
Fundamentally, the banks' role in the subprime crisis was to remove the incentive for lenders to do their due diligence before offering mortgages to people. There was a whole chain of "just take the money" - from the janitor buying a mansion, to the lender transferring the loan, to the banks packaging the loans into derivatives, to ratings agencies rubber-stamping AAAs.
At every level, money was offered, and money was taken. This is what this much-maligned 1% has done, in their own eyes. I believe this is no different from what happens to the 1% in the Valley. Witness the recent spate of startups cashing out. People on HN rose to defend (http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3089634) this behavior. "The VCs offered money, founders have no reason not to take it", seems to be the general consensus. Pot, kettle, black?
I work at a startup myself. I believe things like Twitter and Reddit et al., while unprofitable, still contribute to human wealth in the sense of changing society and fostering communication. But I don't believe this sort of thing gives us the right to cast stones at the financial industry, whether or not they want to call themselves engineers.
We wouldn't exist without them.
(99%s and 1%s intentionally hyperbolic, just like the protest.)
I'd also debate your point that the average quant understands statistics and probability much better than startup founders. The former have created a system where the expected payoff is negatively asymmetric, the latter a system where the expected payoff is positively asymmetric. Which world do you want to live in?
And do I even need to mention how quants' recent attempt to use Gaussian statistics to model a non-Gaussian world became one of the primary causes of the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression?
Yes there are smart, savy quants like Paul Wilmott & Co. whose intellectual integrity is impeccable. But so far they've been the exception, not the rule.
Why do we assume that "rich people" are all wall street people? Does everyone that makes over $200K a year work on Wall Street? I, frankly, am offended that people like my neighbor (who owns a local chain of muffler shops, and works his ass off) is representative of a Wall Street "financial barrron". Sure, he makes probably a few hundred K a year, but did he earn it? Hell yes he earned it. The comparison is obsurd.
The way people like Krugman use one unrelated issue to argue for another...is offensive. Elizabeth Warren is not trying to punish Wall Street, she is trying to punish the rich. There is a big difference. Krugman, you sir are a useful idiot.
Elizabeth Warren's point is simple, if you don't want to pay taxes, then don't expect any of the services that are paid for by those taxes. Plain and simple, otherwise you end up with a society that has extremely sharp inequalities and then you will really know what "class warfare" is. I think the point here is simple, buy your nice house and drive your nice car et al, but please save a little for the next guy.
The "next guy" here implies anyone who needs it more than you. Be it that inner city school child, or old man with cancer who has to rob a bank in order to get treatment ( http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/lookout/man-robs-bank-medical-ca... ) or even the next entrepreneur who will need roads, educated workers and security in order to build his business.
On a different note, I must say that I blame more the system that made it possible to give people mortgages who can't pay. Even more, I blame a system that demolishes houses ( http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124148169574985359.html ) instead of pricing them better. As a bonus http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predatory_lending
Yes, but you only need open a single newspaper to learn that inner city children and old men with cancer are NOT the recipients of the money you're being asked to fork over. So framing tax increases in terms of those worthy causes is essentially fraud.
> On a different note, I must say that I blame more the system that made it possible to give people mortgages who can't pay.
Sure. But it's the exact same system that asks for your tax money to clean up its mess.
In case of the US it went too over board. With tax payers money being used to supposedly bail out large corporation and banks. Instead that money went into paying Jets, paying bonuses and insane severance packages to executives.
This makes the system even worse! It's like a cancer, and if you look closely, the people who benefited the most are the ones who created the mess. Not, what I'd call, biggest victims who lost their jobs because of the mess and ended up not affording what they could afford before. I'm not sure the mess was cleaned up either, I think it was whitewashed.
On the issue of where taxes go, instead of the rich refusing to be taxed to fund wars and give bailouts, why not insist on policy change and frugality to ensure that taxes are utilized properly and efficiently. Much as it will never be perfect, it can be close to perfect if with the same vigor that people fight taxes, they would fight for better utilization of the taxes.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/30-yea...
I'm not going to defend rampant mortgage speculation and public bailouts. But be careful at the venom you heap on Wall St. We will miss it when it's gone.
An interesting statistic is that Google's is more profitable than Goldman Sachs by almost every metric. They have higher revenues per employee, higher profits per employee, higher profits per unit of equity, etc. Nobody is demonstrating in Amphitheatre Parkway about how Google is ruining the country. Because people are smarter than you give them credit for.
Did you check out the new yorker article I mentioned about ("what good is wall street"). Even an article like this, which takes a very dim view of wall street, notes the vital role that banking (and, yes, wall street itself) plays in a modern economy. "Moving money from where it is to where it is needed", is unbelievably important and good work, even if it is transactional in nature. A system that can get money from savings accounts and turn it into capital for businesses is spectacular.
The problem (well, according to the article) is that this core, economically useful activity is not the main function of walk street anymore (one academic cited in the article estimates that if the financial sector were limited to the useful activities, it would be one-third to one-half of its current size).
Venture capital has been around for centuries, and in its modern form, since about the 1950s. Very little of it comes from Wall Street.
It's a great tactic, because Americans generally are not hostile toward very wealthy individuals when they perceive these individuals as wealth creators - in fact, they actually admire these people [1]. Yes, most support progressive taxation and would support higher taxes for the rich (even wealth creators whose activities we want to support), but they'd oppose a "soak the rich" kind of class warfare, on practical and moral grounds.
No surprise, then, that people who profited, first from risky and economically worthless activities [2], and next from a massive taxpayer supported bailout, would want to get real close to the founders of tech companies in silicon valley and hope that nobody notices the difference.
I'm not surprised that the movement against "wall street" is incoherent right now. There are so many angles, so many different opinions. You have the anarchists who protest globalization in general, but you also have Tim O'Reilly stating that he thinks wall street bankers got away with a crime [3] (and kept the money too).
As someone in high tech, the most important thing to me is to make sure that financial "engineers" don't get to associate themselves with the wealth creation of real engineers and other people who are wealthy because they created wealth.
[1] An interesting article about this in the nytimes titled "How we value the super rich" talks ab it about the mentality behind this distinction...
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/28/weekinreview/28stone.html
[2] For a pretty comprehensive version of the argument that much of investment banking is useless, check out a New Yorker article "what good is wall street"...
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/11/29/101129fa_fact_...
[3] https://plus.google.com/107033731246200681024/posts/Sy8Z2uWy...