'Children of Men' is happening

Re:'Children of Men' is happening by CSSer on Saturday March 19, 2022 @01:41PM (#30735806)

It’s interesting that you say this because, and this doesn’t change my opinion about its value, education is strongly correlated with a decrease in birth rates in developing and developed countries. There’s also a strong correlation between high marks at a young age and high degrees of success later in life, regardless of grades or performance in between. Taken together, Macron’s policy could actuallly harm the birth rate.

I completely agree that families should get more support. I’m just not so sure it’s necessarily that straightforward.

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Re:'Children of Men' is happening by ALittleLight on Saturday March 19, 2022 @01:53PM (#30735931)

My own intuition is that the norm of both parents working is hard on fertility. I can't imagine what it would be like without a dedicated full-time parent.

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Re:'Children of Men' is happening by jszymborski on Saturday March 19, 2022 @01:56PM (#30735956)

> I’m just not so sure it’s necessarily that straightforward.

Not to sound snide, but I also don't think it's as straightforward as linking two correlative effects. High grades in school is also often predictive of economic background, race, gender etc... that themselves are correlated to birth rates. I don't see here much reason to believe that providing early childhood care would decrease birth rates.

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Re:'Children of Men' is happening by CSSer on Saturday March 19, 2022 @02:20PM (#30736227)

You don’t. Correlation doesn’t equal causation, of course. My point was that GPs solution might not be enough, not that it was unviable. I tried to demonstrate that by showing that in the worst case it could potentially backfire, not that it necessarily will. I was painting in pretty broad strokes though, mostly because I don’t have any better ideas, so I could see how it just comes across as FUD.

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