Re:US Federal Reserve raises interest rates for first time s...
by lazide on Wednesday March 16, 2022 @09:23PM
(#30706413)
I expect it's years of money printing to avoid a dip in the middle of the largest demand drop we've had in a very long time, following by a resurgence in demand as folks get out and try to get moving again (resulting in them spending a bunch of that money all the sudden).
It's pretty predictable IMO.
Either we'd have to drop the economy during the demand slackening during COVID (which would have caused a severe recession, because it WAS a recession in activity, and then there would be a bunch of panicked people in the middle of a pandemic who also lost all their income running around and maybe setting even MORE things on fire), or inflate our way out of it.
Hopefully we don't see some crazy 25% inflation like the 80's, but I wouldn't rule it out.
I'd expect that in a few years it'll flatten out though.
Re:US Federal Reserve raises interest rates for first time s...
by refurb on Thursday March 17, 2022 @12:57AM
(#30707814)
I haven't seen the actual data, but a Stanford economist compared the stimulus payments with actual consumption and it's pretty apparent most stimulus dollars were not spent, but rather used to pay down debt or invest (hello r/WSB!).
Re:US Federal Reserve raises interest rates for first time s...
by CPLX on Wednesday March 16, 2022 @09:40PM
(#30706554)
> a lot of people that just dumped their stimulus checks on memecoins or wasted it buying spurious goods
By contrast, when the Bush tax cuts were passed all that money was used for tasteful, ethical spending
Re:US Federal Reserve raises interest rates for first time s...
by e4e78a06 on Wednesday March 16, 2022 @10:09PM
(#30706784)
Never said TCJA or the Bush era tax cuts were used for good purposes :) but it's probably better for the country in the long run to have excess money flowing into tech VC funds rather than being spent on memecoins and shitty electronics. That way maybe 1% of the funds will have positive returns rather than all of it being set on fire.
Re:US Federal Reserve raises interest rates for first time s...
by CPLX on Wednesday March 16, 2022 @10:14PM
(#30706828)
> better for the country in the long run to have excess money flowing into tech VC funds rather than being spent on memecoins and shitty electronics
Why
Re:US Federal Reserve raises interest rates for first time s...
by e4e78a06 on Wednesday March 16, 2022 @10:29PM
(#30706949)
I'm just saying in the absence of any alternatives (which I'm sure there are), it's better to have 1% of trillions of dollars going towards advancing humanity and technology than 0%. I am fully aware that 99% of that money is going to be burned on WeWorks and the like.
Re:US Federal Reserve raises interest rates for first time s...
by lazide on Wednesday March 16, 2022 @11:41PM
(#30707418)
Pretty sure at least 1% of the random shitcoin/memelord stuff went to advancing humanity too. Probably more.
Re:US Federal Reserve raises interest rates for first time s...
by CPLX on Thursday March 17, 2022 @08:06AM
(#30710210)
Link to tech VC firm that has advanced humanity?
Re:US Federal Reserve raises interest rates for first time s...
by MisterMower on Wednesday March 16, 2022 @11:07PM
(#30707221)
At least those tax cuts were on income, by definition money earned through productive activity.
Re:US Federal Reserve raises interest rates for first time s...
by CPLX on Thursday March 17, 2022 @08:07AM
(#30710227)
Oh good. I was worried that there were still people earning income from exploitation, rent seeking, monopoly, cronyism, and leveraging principal-agent conflicts of interest but looks like that’s all over now.
Re:US Federal Reserve raises interest rates for first time s...
by analyte123 on Wednesday March 16, 2022 @11:15PM
(#30707271)
Don't forget that nobody has had to pay student loans for two years.
I personally know a lot of people that just dumped their stimulus checks on memecoins or wasted it buying spurious goods. I'm sure the used car and electronics market also was greatly affected by stimulus as well.
The Fed also should have limited its stimulus to buying Treasuries rather than MBS. It makes no sense for the government to buy mortgage backed securities (basically a freebie to homeowners/homebuyers who are already wealthy).