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Re:Ask HN: Did any one or any thing predict the Russian inva... by eveningcoffee on Tuesday March 08, 2022 @07:48PM (#30609593)
Does it count that I told to my spouse that Russia will invade Ukraine when the US got the f*ck out of Afghanistan? No, not because that it got out but because how it got out.

Well, I was right and Putin was wrong to think that he can discount Europeans.

Re:Ask HN: Did any one or any thing predict the Russian inva... by readonthegoapp on Wednesday March 09, 2022 @02:57AM (#30611992)
Why how?
Re:Ask HN: Did any one or any thing predict the Russian inva... by eveningcoffee on Wednesday March 09, 2022 @06:03PM (#30621154)
You mean why I thought that this will happen?

Because it confirmed to Putin that American president is weak and without principles. US just let everything invested into Afghanistan down the drain - there was a whole new generation who only knew a life in relative freedom. All that was lost. No, Biden did not start pulling out of Afghanistan but he displayed that US can accept disgrace, that they can be humiliated and they just take it.

The fact that Putin wants to annex Ukraine has been known for long time and it looked like a good moment when he could try to accomplish this.