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Re:Ask HN: What is the likelihood of nuclear war in 2022? by smoyer on Saturday February 26, 2022 @09:40PM (#30484814)
42

More seriously, you have an un-hinged dictator with nuclear weapons - when he loses, who knows what he'll do. A real egotarian would say "If I can't win, then everyone has to lose". The only upside is that there's one less dictator (wannabe?) with his finger on the nuclear button than there was last year.

Re:Ask HN: What is the likelihood of nuclear war in 2022? by RomanPushkin on Saturday February 26, 2022 @09:43PM (#30484835)
In other words - more than zero, and more than in "normal times"?
Re:Ask HN: What is the likelihood of nuclear war in 2022? by smoyer on Saturday February 26, 2022 @09:48PM (#30484864)
The warnings issued by Putin to not interfere and the West's "drawing a line in the sand" reminds me a bit of the Cuban missile crisis (though it's Russia who's claiming a free Ukraine weakens their sovereignty. But going back further in time, we've seen that doing nothing (when Hitler invaded Poland) is not diplomacy but rather emboldened him that the world would stand-by and do nothing.