Re:The Effects of Finland's Possible NATO Membership (2016) ...
by cryptonector on Saturday February 26, 2022 @03:15PM
(#30481447)
It's Falklands. And anyways, NATO as it stands today will not be attacked. But potential NATO entrants very much might be, prior to and maybe even after entering. No one believes that NATO will actually fight beyond Poland. Hell, I don't believe the Germans would fight for Poland -- Poland would fight for Poland, but that's probably it. Defensibility matters. I think Poland is defensible mainly because this time Poland is prepared and willing to defend itself long enough to embarrass the rest of NATO into helping.
That means Poland is now safe from attack.
All the new entrants being discussed are less defensible than Poland. With Ukraine being left to flap in the wind and lose, the value of discussing NATO entrance is now negative.
That means Poland is now safe from attack.
All the new entrants being discussed are less defensible than Poland. With Ukraine being left to flap in the wind and lose, the value of discussing NATO entrance is now negative.