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Re:How Russia Took over the Internet in Crimea and Eastern U... by A4ET8a8uTh0 on Saturday February 26, 2022 @12:13PM (#30479505)
It appears to be an accurate assessment. I was expecting to see blitzkrieg based on initial reports, but it seems less likely now. In a very real sense, I hope that is the case.
Re:How Russia Took over the Internet in Crimea and Eastern U... by dragontamer on Saturday February 26, 2022 @12:27PM (#30479640)
If anything, the Russians are moving in too fast. I think the Russians really were going for the 'decapitation', trying to quickly kill or capture the politicians in Kyiv, leaving the Ukrainians leaderless.

All signs point to this IMO. Russians have failed in that attempt this far, but it's only day 3.

Ukraine has been routing or killing a lot of airborne / paratroopers in and around Kyiv (Russian VDV units). Russia really is going for a quick victory, committing so many airborne units there.

Re:How Russia Took over the Internet in Crimea and Eastern U... by kabes on Saturday February 26, 2022 @12:45PM (#30479813)
But in all likelihood Russia still wins easily from Ukraine. Even if at a slightly higher cost than hoped
Re:How Russia Took over the Internet in Crimea and Eastern U... by dragontamer on Saturday February 26, 2022 @02:10PM (#30480731)
Russia has already lost more airplanes than the US did in the entirety of the Iraq war. (USA lost 24 fixed-wing aircraft in all of Iraq 2003 to 2009).

I do realize that this is a Ukrainian propaganda, but their claims are incredible: https://mobile.twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1497643063...

7 aircraft shot down in a singular night, including 2x IL-76 MD just last night alone. Big, slow, 4-wing transport airplanes (carrying either 100+ paratroopers or heavy equipment to the front lines). These aren't drones they're shooting down, Ukrainians continue to threaten the logistical support Russia needs to feed the front lines.

We're no longer in "slightly higher cost" territory. We're in "Russians failed to disable Ukrainian's airforce and air-defenses... advanced _ANYWAY_ and are taking heavy losses" territory.

Yeah, Russia may win after this. But what's incredible... something completely unthinkable just a few days ago... is that the Ukrainians might actually win conventionally. Russia's failure to disable Ukrainian's air force is already a costly mistake, especially because Russia continues to advance despite being in a state of air-parity with the Ukrainians.

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I think the Ukrainian city of Kharkiv is in trouble however. But there's video proof of entire convoys being blown up (https://mobile.twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/149757339550817...) on their way to Kharkiv, definitely proving that the Ukrainian Air Force continues to fly.

Re:How Russia Took over the Internet in Crimea and Eastern U... by ceejayoz on Saturday February 26, 2022 @01:21PM (#30480187)
The initial war? Quite possibly.

The ensuing Western-supported insurgency, under the name of either Zelenskyy the hero or Zelenskyy the martyr? Quite a bit more doubtful.