Re:NATO leaves Black Sea exposed as Russia invades Ukraine
by nickpp on Friday February 25, 2022 @09:11AM
(#30467458)
What if China's future moves in Taiwan are being determined by the Ukrainian outcome? A Russian victory (I think) will show a weakened, divided West and will embolden China.
Re:NATO leaves Black Sea exposed as Russia invades Ukraine
by sebow on Friday February 25, 2022 @09:52AM
(#30467855)
I think china's plans for tw are not necessarily determined by Ukraine, mainly because getting TW hurts the west and empowers China way more.(chips,obviously)
It's a reasonable assumption to make and personally I think China wants tw regardless. Hybrid wars that are being started and slowed down : I.e. joggling with your opponent's forces are very dangerous.
I understand somewhat US not doing much of anything militarily speaking, and it's nothing new: happened before, it's precisely why Putin does it: he dares the west to do something, because (and this is the bigger, more overlooked picture) he knows he's mainly there to play a role: to distract the west from Taiwan, Kazakhstan[people already forgot about this one, it's critical for China's development of the 'Silk road' train route], etc. If sh1t hits the fan, he also knows China backs Putin.That's why also the Chinese are threatening TW lately: the western leadership(Biden, Germany's Scholz,somewhat even Boris & Macron) is weaker right now.