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Re:Browser Market Pollution: IE[x] is the new IE6 by bzbarsky on Tuesday September 27, 2011 @03:23PM (#3044804)
As of about a week ago, when Firefox 6 was the current release, the Firefox numbers looked like this (source is http://groups.google.com/group/mozilla.dev.planning/msg/d1d4... ):

  Firefox 5 is < 10% and dropping.
  Firefox 4 is < 5% and dropping.
Those are percentages of Firefox market share, not overall market share. So those correspond to somewhere around 2% and 1% of overall users respectively. Note that in November Firefox 6 will be in the position of Firefox 4 right now.

Also from the same post:

  The uptake curve got steeper between 5 and 6, which means
  more people are updating faster.
Re:Browser Market Pollution: IE[x] is the new IE6 by surrealize on Tuesday September 27, 2011 @05:33PM (#3045324)
"The uptake curve got steeper between 5 and 6, which means more people are updating faster."

You have to wonder how much of that is a selection effect. Since there was a change in the upgrade tempo in firefox, you'd expect to see the uptake curve get steeper even if overall user behavior hasn't changed, because the users that were on 5 when 6 came out would tend to be the more adventurous ones.

Edit: in other words, ff 5 didn't have as much time to accumulate less-adventurous users as ff 4 did, so the 5->6 transition will appear faster than the 4->5 transition.

Re:Browser Market Pollution: IE[x] is the new IE6 by bzbarsky on Tuesday September 27, 2011 @08:28PM (#3045902)
Yeah, that's a good question. It's hard to disentangle the effects given the available aggregate numbers. We'll see how things look going forward.