News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:A Java library for technical analysis by adamnemecek on Sunday February 20, 2022 @05:56PM (#30410063)
Does anyone actually use technical analysis?
Re:A Java library for technical analysis by artdigital on Sunday February 20, 2022 @06:27PM (#30410265)
I do

I don’t plan all my investing around it of course, but being able to quickly read a chart with oscillators like RSI, or spotting bearish patterns (head and shoulders, bear flag) can tell me that maybe I should wait a bit more before entering to see if it actually falls, or if it breaks out and establishes a more uptrend

TA = good to get an idea what’s going on in the market until now

Re:A Java library for technical analysis by relueeuler on Sunday February 20, 2022 @07:29PM (#30410628)
No one worth anything in finance. Plenty of folks in Main Street do, but they don’t know any better, so you’ll have to forgive them.

The lesson is simple: you can’t predict future price based on price history.

Re:A Java library for technical analysis by moistly on Sunday February 20, 2022 @11:02PM (#30411846)
A better phrasing is “Does anyone use technical analysis exclusively?” …and, perhaps, “As a trader or investor?” A select few billionaires have made their fortune through programmatic trading but I suspect the data is not restricted to stock price history.

I suspect the market has the quality of the particle-wave duality. A little Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle in play.

Edit: (e.g. once you find a TA method that works exceptionally well, and the market learns of it, it’ll cease to work as well. Hence the teams of developers at all the firms and funds.)

Re:A Java library for technical analysis by sumedh on Sunday February 20, 2022 @06:58PM (#30410459)
I did few times and made some money ( although I am still not sure if it was luck or my skill) but in the end watching the market all the time got boring and I still had to do my job so I stopped.
Re:A Java library for technical analysis by wswope on Sunday February 20, 2022 @09:10PM (#30411193)
I’ve been doing a lot of technical analysis for funsies… using market data from the game Old School Runescape (an MMO with a centralized exchange for trades between players).

It’s really fun! Much easier to find success when you’re not in a zero sum competition against a bunch of quants and don’t have your whole livelihood at stake. Highly recommend it for anyone who wants a “day trading simulator” experience.

Re:A Java library for technical analysis by Bostonian on Sunday February 20, 2022 @08:02PM (#30410827)
Many academics have studied momentum, both cross-sectional momentum and time-series momentum, and many quant firms use it as one of their factors in trading stocks, bonds, and commodities.
Re:A Java library for technical analysis by Ataraxiaist on Monday February 21, 2022 @07:37AM (#30415199)
Not any real money. Technical analysis is toolbox for new traders before they lose money to institutions and quit trading.

Almost all technical analysis is just slicing and dicing a moving average. There is enough of them to try to keep people trading for some time before giving up.

A single price series just doesn't contain much memory.

Re:A Java library for technical analysis by henning on Sunday February 20, 2022 @07:15PM (#30410549)
Bro, would I be driving a Lambo if I didn't? Sign up for my online course to find out!