Re:Biden says he's now convinced Putin has decided to invade...
by NicoJuicy on Friday February 18, 2022 @07:56PM
(#30393358)
I don't think Ukraine can resist much.
But I also don't think that Putin will occupy the whole of Ukraine. There are additional difficulties with doing that.
False flag ops seem to have started. The following days seem to be critical on the "future" of the r. invasion. We'll see how propaganda will work this time.
Re:Biden says he's now convinced Putin has decided to invade...
by AnimalMuppet on Saturday February 19, 2022 @12:32PM
(#30398777)
> We'll see how propaganda will work this time.
It's failing in the West, for the most part. The US is doing a good job shining the spotlight on the BS Russia is doing.
Within Russia? It may be more effective; I don't know.
Will this actually happen? Yes. It will start within a week. Personally, I'm leaning toward Sunday or Monday.
On what scale? Russia has 190,000 troops on the border. That's a huge scale, if they all come. (It could be even more than that, if Belarus joins Russia in this.) The US has said that it is not going to go to war over Ukraine, so it shouldn't turn into World War III. (I say hopefully, but with less certainty than I would like.)
How much of Ukraine will Putin try to take? I suspect, as much as he thinks he can get with the consequences still being acceptable. No, I don't know how much that is. It may depend on how stiff a resistance Ukraine puts up.
What might the impact be? Almost impossible to say. A bunch of people are going to die - thousands, at a minimum.