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A comment on The Pandemic Boom Goes Bust. Parent comment

Re:The Pandemic Boom Goes Bust by giaour on Saturday January 29, 2022 @09:10AM (#30126393)
Your assertion assumes that demand would not have contracted in April 2020 absent government intervention, which seems suspect. Unless you believe no one would have adopted any pandemic precautions absent activity restrictions, thereby averting any demand drop in, say, the entertainment and hospitality sectors.
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Re:The Pandemic Boom Goes Bust by thisisnotatest1 on Saturday January 29, 2022 @09:42AM (#30126630)
Demand reflects consumption opportunities

People kept receiving salaries, and unemployment benefits. So financial position and income of families was always strong

There's no precautionary savings cycle.. People engaged in financial risk taking by buying houses like never before

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Re:The Pandemic Boom Goes Bust by giaour on Saturday January 29, 2022 @11:48AM (#30127819)
> People kept receiving salaries, and unemployment benefits. So financial position and income of families was always strong

I'm confused; weren't you arguing above that unemployment concerns shouldn't have motivated government spending because the drop in demand was artificial? You can't bolster that position by saying that the demand stayed strong because of unemployment benefits and salaries that went out despite people staying home; those spending categories (PPP loans and enhanced unemployment benefits) were a government subsidy to keep demand from cratering.

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Re:The Pandemic Boom Goes Bust by ac29 on Saturday January 29, 2022 @08:02PM (#30132509)
> There's no precautionary savings cycle.. People engaged in financial risk taking

The personal savings rate tripled in early 2020: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PSAVERT

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