Yeah, more likely to get infected on exposure than an unvaccinated person that has not previously had the disease.

The source link supports that claim as far as I can tell from what's on that page and doesn't say anything about vaccinated people being more likely to get infected vs. unvaccinated (both without natural immunity).

The study excluded previously PCR-positive individuals in both vaccinated and unvaccinated groups. So it's vaccinated and no prior exposure and unvaccinated and no prior exposure.

The infection rate 60 days post-vaccination were higher in the vaccine group.

"The negative estimates in the final period arguably suggest different behaviour and/or exposure patterns in the vaccinated and unvaccinated cohorts causing underestimation of the VE. This was likely the result of Omicron spreading rapidly initially through single (super-spreading) events causing many infections among young, vaccinated individuals."

Yeah, I think it's more likely that this is the explanation. At least I'd need to be persuaded that the more unlikely explanation is the correct one.

yah, difficult to control for that for sure. But most polling indicates unvaccinated folks are far less concerned about COVID in general and less likely to modify their behavior.

Source: https://www.kff.org/coronavirus-covid-19/poll-finding/kff-co...