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Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by mullingitover on Tuesday January 25, 2022 @06:24PM (#30079590)
> What about the spreadsheets, the computers, algorithms, industrial control systems, Python scripts, voice recognition systems, data pipelines, software powered gig economy, algorithmic traders?

At first I thought you were bringing these up to point out that the robots create other jobs, because robots don't just spring from the earth fully formed and ready to run forever. They require an army of engineers to build/operate/maintain them.

> We're always focused on the some day maybe robots, but automation has been changing society and (I'd argue) increasing inequality for decades

Inequality is a political problem. I'd rather we tackled that for what it is: bring on the fully automated luxury communism and free us from our mindless toil that can be trivially performed by mindless robots. We have nothing to lose but our drudgery.

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by selestify on Tuesday January 25, 2022 @06:29PM (#30079650)
For your first point: the new jobs required is of course much less than the jobs removed, or else there wouldn't be a point to automation in the first place because it's not saving on labor efficiency.

Agreed on your second point. Attack the inequality, not the automation.

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by jordwest on Tuesday January 25, 2022 @06:38PM (#30079720)
> They require an army of engineers to build/operate/maintain them.

Yep agreed, but there's a key difference. Unlike most other jobs, your labor continues to provide the company profits even after you leave. I think that's why software engineers are typically paid a lot and are often paid with a stock option component.

> Inequality is a political problem. I'd rather we tackled that for what it is: bring on the fully automated luxury communism and free us from our mindless toil that can be trivially performed by mindless robots. We have nothing to lose but our drudgery.

I think we could already do this. Obviously many workers would still be required, but they could be much more fairly compensated. Someone else mentioned Graeber's Bullshit Jobs, we're already inventing jobs just to keep people busy and spending. As Adam Curtis said[1], "your real job is shopping".

[1] https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=1414301661936421

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by mullingitover on Tuesday January 25, 2022 @08:27PM (#30080507)
> Unlike most other jobs, your labor continues to provide the company profits even after you leave.

That's certainly the engineer's sales pitch, but let me introduce you to the engineer's fine print, tech debt.

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by Talanes on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @12:12AM (#30082011)
> Unlike most other jobs, your labor continues to provide the company profits even after you leave.

Maybe in terms of pure job function, but anyone who's ever solved a problem at their job in a way that is still used when they leave has continued to provide the company profits.

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by ordinaryradical on Tuesday January 25, 2022 @06:33PM (#30079674)
The totalitarian state that is necessitated by the communist political system always turns out to be as hellish, selfish, and mismanaged as any late capitalist dystopia—except usually with more murder. So I would say the political problem is very much not solved and post-scarcity Utopianism isn’t going to get us there.
Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by scollet on Tuesday January 25, 2022 @08:18PM (#30080439)
I don't think you're projecting as far as OP.

F U L L Y is Star Trek years away, not next Wednesday.

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by dragonwriter on Tuesday January 25, 2022 @06:39PM (#30079726)
> The totalitarian state that is necessitated by the communist political system always turns out to be as hellish, selfish, and mismanaged as any late capitalist dystopia

Leninism (and it's descendants) have a totalitarian state system (socialist, including non-Leninist Marxist Communist, critics tend to call it “state capitalism”) that replaces private capitalism as a hack to avoid the requirement of developing proletarian class identity in a developed capitalist system present in OG Marxism.

That this turns into a dystopian nightmare that mirrors and even exaggerates the horrors of private capitalism and fails to actually bypass private capitalism is a surprise to no one but Leninists, least of all non-Leninist Communists.

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by jordwest on Tuesday January 25, 2022 @07:07PM (#30079958)
Leninism, Marxism was founded at a time when the labor equation was very different. Back then, generally there was a fixed ratio between labor input and productivity output. So communist ideals were about how to centrally distribute that productivity output while centrally controlling the inputs.

With automation though I think that obsoletes a lot of those ideas. Now there's less and less connection between labor input and productivity output.

We need some new ideas for distributing the fruits of automation - that take into account the productivity improvements thanks to machines, computers and efficiency improvement in general. While at the same time keeping some incentives to make things even more efficient.

I think that can be done within our current system with taxes, socialising things like healthcare and access to food and healthcare (and perhaps something like UBI). No need to completely overhaul the political system, although we could be heading towards that too if things don't change.

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by vidarh on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @01:03AM (#30082316)
Marx spent the first chapter of the Communist Manifesto fanboying over how capitalism was increasing the productivity of labour to previously unthinkable levels [1].

He explicitly argued that this was what he believed would make communism possible.

So whatever else one thinks about Marx it's clear he did not think in terms of a fixed ratio.

The comparison of Lenin and Marx is also flawed - Marx argued for the dismantling of the state, not a highly centralised state.

In Critique of the Gotha Programme he even pointed to the US as a better model for education (arguing that government-set standards but devolution of control over the actual provision of education was something to aim for) than the SPDs proposed state run education because he disapproved of giving the state control over even that, arguing that it was rather the state which needed to be educated by the public.

And in his work on the Paris Commune he lamented that one of the biggest errors he believed the commune made was to not go further and smash the rest of the state. The focus on centralised planning in the Soviet Union was Stalinist, not even Leninist, and certainly has nothing to do with Marx.

[1] E.g.: "The bourgeoisie, during its rule of scarce one hundred years, has created more massive and more colossal productive forces than have all preceding generations together. Subjection of Nature’s forces to man, machinery, application of chemistry to industry and agriculture, steam-navigation, railways, electric telegraphs, clearing of whole continents for cultivation, canalisation of rivers, whole populations conjured out of the ground — what earlier century had even a presentiment that such productive forces slumbered in the lap of social labour?"

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by KineticLensman on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @06:08AM (#30084092)
> The comparison of Lenin and Marx is also flawed - Marx argued for the dismantling of the state, not a highly centralised state.

Marx still believed in some sort of state-level synchronisation or command and control - otherwise he knew that you would just have lots of little communes / barracks-communists inefficiently working at cross purposes, e.g. with resource utilisation. But he never spelled out in detail how the central planning function should work - it was in effect an implementation detail. It was in this space of undefined behaviour that Lenin, Stalin and Mao created the totalitarian states that they did.

I think a lot of people forget that there was no actual collaboration between Marx and Lenin and the others. Lenin was only 13 years old when Marx died, ill and in a city on the other side of Europe.

Although there is a mass of academic detail in Marx's works, the communist manifesto itself is very thin in terms of the remedies to the problems it identifies. The 'call to action' part of the manifesto is essentially ten short bullet points, one of which is 'etc etc'.

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by vidarh on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @01:55PM (#30090038)
Marx argued the state inherently would cease to serve a purpose and would "wither away" (the term itself is from Engels who argued it was based on Marx writings) once class antagonisms no longer exist, so I don't think there's much basis for the idea he believed in "command and control" other than at most in a transition. Ironically given his authoritarianism, Lenins The State and Revolution is one of the best summaries of Marx' criticism of the state, and even Lenin plaid lip-service to the notion of the withering away of the state to the point of arguing for an eventual society without a state.

The core distinction between Marxists and many forms of Anarchists, as early as during the dispute in the First International between Bukharin and Marx, was their view not on the long term dismantling of the state - where they agreed - but the role of the state in the transition from capitalism to socialism, where the anarchists wanted the state dismantled immediately, while Marx argued the state could serve a role in a transition, itself becoming a tool to execute the changes necessary to change society.

In his works on the Paris Commune he explicitly criticised the Communards for failing to take the next step and destroy the bourgeois state. While that could certainly have been replaced with a proposed federation, a key distinction was that he celebrated the bottom up delegation of authority, which is hardly compatible with "command and control" if any part can withdraw.

As such, libertarian Marxism directly opposed to the very existence of a state became a thing, based in large part on his writings on the Paris Commune.

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by dragonwriter on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @10:15AM (#30086461)
> I think a lot of people forget that there was no actual collaboration between Marx and Lenin and the others.

Well, I mean, people “forget” because equating Leninism with Marxism served the purposes of both Leninists and Western opponents of Marxism, so it became a common element of propaganda of both the USSR and other authoritarian communist regimes and the capitalist west.

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by bryanlarsen on Tuesday January 25, 2022 @07:26PM (#30080097)
Marx was writing precisely at the time that the equation shifted to its modern form. A single spinning jenny operator could do the work of eight or more spinners.
Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by DarylZero on Tuesday January 25, 2022 @10:49PM (#30081444)
> Leninism (and it's descendants) have a totalitarian state system (socialist, including non-Leninist Marxist Communist, critics tend to call it “state capitalism”)

_Lenin_ called it "state capitalism." That was the official policy of the USSR under Lenin. State capitalism.

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by dragonwriter on Tuesday January 25, 2022 @11:42PM (#30081799)
> _Lenin_ called it "state capitalism.”

Lenin called a transitional phase that was intended to take 6 months to establish and another 6 months to phase out into socialism “state capitalism” (it may be the case that “war communism" of 1918-1921 was officially recognized as something of an extension of that phase necessitated by emergency), but state capitalism was never officially the long-term policy or the self-description of the state of the economy past that point; the criticism from non-Leninist Marxists is that what the steady state of what the USSR became was state capitalism, not socialism.

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by DarylZero on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @01:22AM (#30082412)
Yes it was supposed to be temporary, but the policy still remained official until after his death.

(Did he really say just 6 months?? That doesn't sound right. But anyway it would have only been a prediction -- which failed.)

"Joseph Stalin abandoned the NEP in 1928 with the Great Break."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Economic_Policy

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Break_(USSR)

Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by dragonwriter on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @10:21AM (#30086538)
The NEP wasn't (in its own theory) state capitalism but a transition from war communism (which I think was, even in its own theory, still state capitalism) but to a mix of “socialized” industry and state-guided private capitalism. (Yes , critics would say that the “socialized” industries were really state capitalist and that the degree of centralized “guidance” made the private sector also state capitalism, but we’re talking about what Lenin and the internal theory of the USSR portrayed it as, where it was a different temporary stepping stone to fully socialized industry.)
Re:Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs by DarylZero on Wednesday January 26, 2022 @05:33PM (#30093062)
> The NEP wasn't (in its own theory) state capitalism

That's not what wikipedia says. I can't argue as I am no expert in such matters myself having read almost none of the primary material (but I did read "The Tax In Kind"... which I was assuming outlined the theory of the NEP).

Wikipedia on NEP:

Lenin considered the NEP as a strategic retreat from socialism. He believed it was capitalism, but justified it by insisting that it was a different type of capitalism, "state capitalism", the last stage of capitalism before socialism evolved.[15]