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A comment on Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2022?. Parent comment

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2022? by jmnicolas on Friday December 31, 2021 @04:30PM (#29752712)
> - Le Pen will narrowly lose to Macron in the second round of the French election,

Let me counter that: Macron won't run for a second time to avoid the humiliation of having a low score under 10%.

Valérie Pécresse will be elected president winning over Zemmour. She will do the same things as Macron and will be as hated in 5 years from now.

> but the Zemmour + Le Pen total will be a majority.

I agree on that.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2022? by deMalevale on Sunday January 02, 2022 @10:42AM (#29769573)
How much are you ready to bet that Macron won't run? Because he's currently polling at 25% with at least 15% of respondents who are certain to show up and cast a ballot for him. No chance he'll score close to 10%.
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Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2022? by jmnicolas on Monday January 03, 2022 @03:14AM (#29778475)
His stepson runs a poll agency, I'd take the 25% with a shovel of salt! Even if he runs, he's sure to lose for Pécresse because she's new, so people aren't already fed up with her.
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Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2022? by deMalevale on Monday January 03, 2022 @05:10AM (#29779144)
Come on, all the polling agencies consistently show the same data. If Pécresse gets to the second run then she may well win, as polling data also shows.
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