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Re:Turkey's Financial Crisis by LatteLazy on Friday December 24, 2021 @03:51PM (#29677628)
The US doesn't have negative interest rates, but with inflation over 6% and rates at 1.25% that's a pretty big negative real rate...
Re:Turkey's Financial Crisis by dan-robertson on Friday December 24, 2021 @07:45PM (#29679224)
If you look at the long-term expected inflation rate based on T-bill yields, it is not so different from before (say around 2018-19 or so). I think 6% is probably an inappropriate number to use in this comparison. Though I agree it looks like negative real rates.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T5YIE

(Alternatively you could suppose we’ll have inflation at x for one year and y on average for the next 9. If that’s the case I think the data above implies x=2.22% and y=4.7%, so I still think 6% is too much but maybe not totally crazy)

Re:Turkey's Financial Crisis by dan-robertson on Saturday December 25, 2021 @07:42AM (#29682811)
Ugh, x and y the wrong way round obviously.