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Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by JamesBarney on Tuesday December 14, 2021 @12:33PM (#29554450)
The doctor who found it, isn't a psychic. She doesn't have any information the rest of us don't. She's just describing her personal experience.

And her experience is entirely consistent with Omicron appearing less virulent because it's infecting the previously infected and vaccinated who already have some degree of immunity.

Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by mohanmcgeek on Tuesday December 14, 2021 @12:37PM (#29554498)
> because it's infecting the previously infected and vaccinated who already have some degree of immunity.

The doctor isn't a psychic but how do _you_ know this

Re:Omicron variant more resistant to vaccine but causes less... by JamesBarney on Tuesday December 14, 2021 @01:26PM (#29555247)
How do I know "her experience is entirely consistent with Omicron appearing less virulent because it's infecting the previously infected and vaccinated who already have some degree of immunity."

1. We know that break through infections are less serious than infections to the unvaccinated and uninfected. 2. We determine virulence by # of hospitalizations (or other serious outcome) / # of infections 3. If we add more infections that don't have serious outcomes (because they are break through cases) that greatly increases the denominator without affecting the numerator. 4. This is how you could have Omicron be just as virulent as the original but look less virulent to a doctor. (Because of the break through cases)

Does that make sense?