So that "95%" figure was a lie to begin with, because those who touted it knew exactly what was going to happen. Viruses evade, and any non-sterilizing vaccine will be evaded by a virus. This is how you get delta, this is how you get omicron (which, by the way, was first found in fully vaccinated individuals and likely created through this evolutionary pressure).
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On what basis? It's proved impossible so far to make a strongly efficacious flu vaccine because of constantly shifting variants. But on the other hand, there are many examples of successful vaccines that have never had an efficacy-killing variant emerge (polio, smallpox, chicken pox). How would anyone who has taken a biology class know a priori whether COVID-19 would be a flu or a polio?
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The initial studies on vaccine efficacy were designed to study efficacy at preventing serious illness, not transmission. So it was not known at the time how effective the vaccines would be on that dimension. To answer these questions requires novel research, it is not settled, freshmen biology knowledge.
If the vaccines don't work, why do people in the real world die much, much less often from covid once they are vaccinated?
If you are so sure an immune-evading variant will emerge, why hasn’t one? (There is no evidence at all that omicron evades the vaccines).
Vaccine evasion is happening, and it doesn't matter whether it's delta or omicron. Would Pfizer pay for a study that proves their vaccines are worthless? Would Fauci, who hands down government money in the form of grants, give a grant for a study that would demolish the pharma companies that he has his money tied to?
The vaccines obviously have SOME efficacy, but just enough to make a product that sells. If someone sold you a new car, and didn't tell you it would break down 6 months down the road, wouldn't you be angry? They polished the car just enough for you to buy, without telling you what lurked in the shadows the entire time.
Virologists knew the roll-out of a non-sterilizing vaccine would end in the scenario we currently have. Period.
Also the reason Pfizer or other people pay for studies that may disprove their drugs is because they actually don’t know whether the drugs work or not! They are paying to find out. Studies fail all the time. You’ve picked one of the most successful studies and treatments of all time to show the system is rigged. Look at all the ones that didn’t work. Why doesn’t Merck, the largest pharma company, have a vaccine? If it’s so easy to fabricate the data, why didn’t they? Why didn’t their virologists lie? Is Merck the only honest pharma company?
It didn’t pan out because of Delta, a way more infectious variant that became common well after the 95% figure was determined.
And it’s fully accurate to say that despite Delta, the vaccines are effective at preventing severe disease, hospitalization, and death. I think that’s a very good thing!