# observed infections = # of infections * probability of testing * probability of authority trustworthiness. Alas, in the developing world test penetration is low and authorities are not particularly trustworthy.
If we want to be nihilists, it’s spreading throughout deer populations and I doubt anybody is even entertaining the idea of vaccinating wild populations.
Re:Tracking Covid-19 variant B.1.1.529
by whimsicalism on Friday November 26, 2021 @10:12AM
(#29350895)
Very different selection effects. Plus less selection in close proximity to vaccinate individuals.
Re:Tracking Covid-19 variant B.1.1.529
by whimsicalism on Friday November 26, 2021 @10:11AM
(#29350887)
lol global covid #s are not close to accurate, obviously.
If the global Covid #s are accurate - the majority of the Covid infections happening are in the developed world.
It'd be great if we could stop the spread in the developing world - but we need to stop it in the developed world, too - or else mutations are still bound to happen.