"The best and brightest built a state of the art forecasting model and it says I should do X" sells much better than "I assume this year will be exactly like last year and last year we should have done X".
Basing your decisions on complicated scientific methods inspires confidence in many people, even when there is no benefit.
It also mitigates responsibility for decision makers, because they can claim that they would have made the perfect decision if only the model's predictions would have been perfect as well.
> How can one model (or simulate) what one do not fully understood?
On the contrary. When you fully understand something, there's no longer a need for a model.
Re:Epidemics Plugin for the UG4 software
by ivandenysov on Friday November 26, 2021 @10:01AM
(#29350776)
IMHO “King of the Hill” is a pretty accurate representation of reality
Remember that simulation of covid from UK with all the pomp and bravado? Not even close to reality.
By the way, all simulations have the same relationship to reality as cartoons. This is just philosophy 101.