Re:This real estate bubble won't pop
by paulpauper on Sunday October 10, 2021 @11:15PM
(#28824266)
For over a decade pundits have been calling for the housing market to fall, yet prices keep going up to no end. Even Covid could not derail it. Although homes are more expensive than ever before , thanks to historically low 30-year mortgage rate and low inflation, real estate is probably a better investment now than ever before, although the down payment is more expensive. But despite this, the returns are very good, assuming you can afford the downpayent. One thing I have observed reading these articles is that it's way easier to explain why prices keep going up than propose any viable solutions. I think the best answer is building outward, expand the economy outward.
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Re:This real estate bubble won't pop
by nuclearnice1 on Sunday October 10, 2021 @11:18PM
(#28824282)
> thanks to historically low 30-year mortgage rate and low inflation, real estate is probably a better investment now than ever before
Would an investor taking advantage of those low 30 year mortgages prefer low inflation or high?
It seems to me they prefer high. They pay the mortgage back in future dollars which are worth less.
Yes. With enough inflation your house would become worth 10x and your mortgage now represents at most 10% of the new value. Fixed rate leverage is a bet that inflation is understated.
My parents paid off their first apartment in 5 years instead of 20 because of inflation in Yugoslavia. You can no longer get fixed rate mortgages in that part of the world … wonder why
One may want a high interest rate while you hold the property but you want low/declining interest rate as you approach sale
Re:This real estate bubble won't pop
by A4ET8a8uTh0 on Monday October 11, 2021 @12:32AM
(#28824687)
One minor point. Covid did not derail it, because Covid made housing market red hot. The pandemic made owning a house an extremely useful asset just from mental health pov.